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Written by Randy Chambers on January 25, 2014

Super Bowl XLVIII Denver Broncos vs. Seattle Seahawks Pick, Odds, Prediction 2/2/14: Randy's Free NFL Football Pick Against the Spread
Photo by: Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

This year's Super Bowl should be an instant classic.

And then there were two: Seattle and Denver will play for the Super Bowl 48 title, instantly crowning either the Seahawks or the Broncos as the best team in the NFL. This is probably the most anticipated Super Bowl of my time (25 years old) and hopefully it will live up to the hype.

You can break this game down from every angle, and I’m sure it’s been done over the last week. But it really comes down to the best defense in Seattle vs. the best offense in Denver. Those two units have gotten both teams to where they are and will likely be the deciding factor in the end.

Which one do you trust more?

Me, I’ve always been a big believer in that defense wins championships. I’m sure you’ve heard the saying once or twice. It’s true. Baltimore won a Super Bowl in 2001 with an offense that couldn’t move the ball on a middle school. The New York Giants beat Tom Brady and the Patriots twice because their defense could hold those explosive offenses to less than three touchdowns both times. When push comes to shove, defense usually has the upper hand over the offense.

Seattle doesn’t give up anything easy thanks to a young, athletic defense led by Earl Thomas, Richard Sherman and the rest of the gang. When these two teams met last year in the preseason, Peyton Manning threw for 177 yards and two interceptions. Call it what you will, but even picking Manning off a couple of times in a glorified scrimmage is impressive.

If Denver only scored 24 points against San Diego and 26 against New England, it’s safe to assume that Seattle could hold the Broncos to less than three touchdowns. We’re talking about the best defense in the league by far.

The other side of the ball should also favor Seattle. Marshawn Lynch and Russell Wilson are no scrubs. That tandem has been pretty successful this season, and Denver’s passing defense is ranked 27th in the league. It has improved in the playoffs, but Seattle has done a nice job of scoring timely touchdowns and has scored at least 23 points in four of its last five games.

When you factor in the cold, windy weather, that usually favors the defense and the team that prefers to run the football. Ding, ding, ding. That’s Seattle.

The Seahawks are just physically tough on both sides of the ball and simply ware the other team down over the course of four quarters. I only see Denver winning if Manning plays lights out. After all, that’s the only reason the Broncos have even made it this far. I’ll pick the better, more complete team over one possessed quarterback any day of the week.

Seattle is 13-4 against the spread vs. teams with a winning record, while Denver is 3-7 against the spread in its last 10 playoff games.

The Seahawks plus points in an absolute gift. 

Thank me later. 


Randy's Pick: Seattle +2

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