Predicting Who Wins The AFC East In 2014: Pick, Odds, Prediction, Dark Horses
Who Wins The AFC East?
The Line: See the Latest Odds
Here we are handicapping the AFC East division and looking at the teams that hold the most value and are worth a shot in the dark.
Buffalo Bills – The Bills are the biggest underdog to win the AFC East with odds of +1100. The Bills defense, which was 28th in the league against the run lost its top player in safety Jairus Byrd. The Bills offense added a playmaker in wide receiver Sammy Watkins, but will that really be enough to help the growth of quarterback E.J. Manuel and drastically improve an offense that was one of the worst passing units in the league? The Bills have not made the playoffs since 1999, and there isn’t enough overall talent on this squad to change that depressing streak. Picking the Bills to win the division holds little to no value, even with those tasty odds.
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Miami Dolphins – The Dolphins seem to be the wild card every year but can never seem to get over that hump, as they haven’t played in the playoffs in now five straight seasons. There are major questions for the Dolphins heading into the season, as Dion Jordan has been suspended for the first four games, the offensive line was brutal last season and now center Mike Pouncey is likely out for eight games due to injury. Still, the Dolphins have one of the better defenses in the league and an offense that can surprise folks if Ryan Tannehill and Mike Wallace can get on the same page. I like the Dolphins to make the playoffs and while I don’t think they’ll win enough to win the division, I will sprinkle a little something on odds of +550. But make sure to take advantage of the plus money for the fish to make the playoffs.
New England Patriots – The Patriots are the overwhelming favorites to win the AFC East, as you’re getting them at odds of -325. Uh, no thanks. While it’s a pretty safe bet to say the Pats will win the division once again, that line holds absolutely no value, especially for a team with limited offensive weapons and an inconsistent defense. You’d be a fool to lay those odds.
New York Jets – If any team in this division made big improvements in the offseason, it would be the Jets. With the additions of Chris Johnson, Michael Vick and Eric Decker, the Jets may actually have a decent enough offense to go with its solid defense. Last year, the Jets ranked third in the league against the run and had a young secondary that had its moments. It was the lousy offense that gave the Jets problems but with some veteran experience and playmakers, that could change. There’s value in getting the Jets at +800, but the Jets have a brutal schedule that includes the Lions, Bears, Packers, Chargers, Broncos and Patriots in their first seven games. The Jets have a defense that’s going to keep them in any game this season and it’s going to be interesting to see if the offense has made enough strides to make things interesting. Still, I’ll bite with a small wager.
Recap: I have the Patriots winning the AFC East, but my bets are the Dolphins and Jets strictly with the value we’re getting. The Pats should remain the Pats, but last season did show some chinks in their amour, which opens the door for two of the teams I’m backing.