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Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers Free Pick, Odds, Prediction 9/21/14

Green Bay Packers (1-1) at Detroit Lions (1-1)

NFL Football: Sunday, September 21, 2014 at 1:00 pm (Ford Field)

The Line: Detroit Lions -1 -- Over/Under: 52 See the Latest Odds

TV: FOX HD

The Green Bay Packers earned their first win of the season on Sunday, as the Packers defeated the New York Jets, and now have the tough task of heading to Ford Field to face off against the Detroit Lions.

The Detroit Lions are sitting at 1-1 this season, after falling to the Carolina Panthers this past weekend.  The Lions couldn’t get out of their own way on Sunday against Carolina and their stingy defense.  The Lions turned the ball over three times against the Panthers, and Stafford was pestered all day against this defense.  Detroit, of course still has one of the best passing offenses in the league, with some guy named Calvin Johnson hauling in from the gunslinger Stafford.  The ground game for the Lions concerns me a bit however.  Detroit had trouble getting rings going on the ground against the Panthers, and even though Carolina is known for a stout run defense, I would have liked to see a better performance here.  The Packers defense is nowhere near the level of the Panthers however, so look for an improved performance from the Lions here.

Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers Free Pick, Odds, Prediction 9/21/14

USA TODAY Sports

The Green Bay Packers are in the win column, after defeating the New York Jets on Sunday 31-24.  The Green Bay Packers came into this meeting with the Jets as heavy favorites, and the Packers got a bit of scare out of the gate, falling behind the Jets early.  Green Bay didn’t find the end zone until the final seconds of the first half, but the Packers outscored the Jets 14-3 in the third quarter, which ended up being enough to get the win over New York.  There was talk heading into this meeting that Eddie Lacy wouldn’t play, and even though he did, Lacy was far from a serious factor for the Packers.  Lacy averaged just 3.3 yards per carry on the day, which is just slightly better than the Packers as a whole, who averaged three yards even on the ground against the Jets.  One person who did go off for the Packers was Jordy Nelson.  Nelson had over 200 yards receiving on the day against the Jets, including a long score of 80 yards.  Nelson was targeted 16 times on the day, and no doubt he will be the focus of the Lions preparation.

The Packers haven’t done well as an underdog lately, gong just 3-8 against the spread in their last 11 games as a dog.  The Lions however are just 1-8 against these spread in their last nine games when the total is greater than 49.5

I have to take the Lions here.  I feel for most teams, home field advantage is overrated in the NFL.  Detroit is not one of those places however.  The Lions always seem to play well at home, and on that turf their speed really becomes an issue for opposing defenses.  Johnson is having a tremendous season, and after last week’s loss to the Panthers, look for the Lions to be hungry for a win against an opponent they know very well.  Close game, but I like the Lions here over the Pack.

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Detroit Lions -1

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