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Houston Texans vs. Buffalo Bills Free Pick, Odds, Prediction 9/28/14

Buffalo Bills (2-1) at Houston Texans (2-1)

NFL Football: Sunday, September 28, 2014 at 1:00 pm (NRG Stadium)

The Line: Houston Texans -3 -- Over/Under: 42 See the Latest Odds


The Buffalo Bills hope to get back into the win column this weekend when the Bills head to Houston to face the Texans.

The Houston Texans suffered their first loss of the season this past weekend, as the Texans fell to the Giants 30-17.  The Texans are better than they were a season ago, but still this team is desperate need of a franchise quarterback.  Defensively I love this team, Watt is an absolute beast, and I believe Clowney will be of that same mold.  Houston got off to a rough start against the Giants, throwing a pick on their opening possession, following that by three punts.  The biggest blow to the Texans came late in the second quarter, when the Giants picked off another pass, this time, turning that turnover into a late touchdown, giving the Giants momentum heading into the locker room.  Houston rebounded nicely, scoring on two of three possessions in the third quarter, but it wasn’t enough as the Giants were also moving the ball well for the first time this season.  Fitzpatrick really struggled in this one, turning the ball over three times total on the day.  Arian Foster was also out for the Texans, and while Blue was solid in his place, there is little doubt that this team needs Foster to stay healthy.

Houston Texans vs. Buffalo Bills Free Pick, Odds, Prediction 9/28/14


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The Buffalo Bills had started the 2014 season off to a surprisingly strong start, going 2-0 out of the gate.  The Bills came back down to earth a bit this past weekend however, falling to the Chargers 22-10.  The Bills are not a team that is built to come back from a large deficit, and that is exactly what they faced on Sunday, as the Chargers scored on four of their first five possessions.  Buffalo came out of the break strong, matching down the field for a score on their first drive of the second half, but it wouldn’t be enough as the Chargers are starting to look like one of the better teams in the league right now.  Without a doubt, the Chargers are one of the best coached teams in the league.  E.J. Manuel really struggled for the Bills against the Chargers defense, completing just 23/39 for 238 yards and a score.  The Bills simply cannot expect to have Manuel chuck the ball nearly 40 times a game and be successful, so look for Buffalo to try and get back to the ground game against Houston here on Sunday.

Buffalo is 0-5 against the spread in their last five games against teams with winning records at home, and Buffalo is 0-7 against the spread in their last seven following a double digit home loss.  The Texans have gone under the total in their last four games following a straight up loss.

I have to take the Bills here.  Honestly I don’t see a ton of difference between these two squads on paper, and getting more than a field goal with the Bills looks solid.  This coaching staff knows Fitz and what he can and can’t do a the quarterback spot, and look for the Bills to try and take advantage of that fact here on Sunday.  

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Buffalo Bills +3

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