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Minnesota Vikings vs. Atlanta Falcons 9/28/14 Free NFL Pick, Odds, Prediction

Atlanta Falcons (2-1) at Minnesota Vikings (1-2)

NFL Football: Sunday, September 28, 2014 at 4:25 pm (TCF Bank Stadium)

The Line: Minnesota Vikings +2.5 -- Over/Under: 47 See the Latest Odds

TV: FOX

The Minnesota Vikings and the Atlanta Falcons face of on Sunday in Minnesota in a NFL battle of dome teams.

The Minnesota Vikings starting their season with a big road win over the Rams but they have gone on to lose their last two both by double digits. The Vikings have had some tough luck drawing the Patriots and Saints the last two weeks but that is the nature of the beat in the NFL. The Vikings offense averages 16.7 points per game which ranks 28th in the NFL and 273 yards per game which ranks 29th. The Vikings offense suffered a blow last week as Matt Cassel broke some bones in his foot meaning the QB spot now goes to Teddy Bridgewater who was going to be the eventual starter but it just sped up his timetable. Bridgewater completed 60 percent of his passes and was sacked twice but he should be better prepared this week taking practice snaps with the first unit. With Adrian Peterson having off of the field issues Matt Asiata is the feature back but he averages just 3.0 yards per carry. Greg Jennings is the Vikings leading receiver with 12 receptions, Cordarrelle Patterson has 11 catches, and Kyle Rudolph has 10 catches. The Vikings defense has been solid allowing just 18.7 points per game that ranks ninth in the NFL and 335.3 yards that ranks 11th. Robert Blanton has 24 tackles and Everson Griffen and Tom Johnson have two sacks each. The Vikings look to be more of a rebuilding project than a contender at this point.

Minnesota Vikings vs. Atlanta Falcons 9/28/14 Free NFL Pick, Odds, Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

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The Atlanta Falcons are 2-1 thus far this season as they try and make a statement that least year’s disastrous season was just a blip o the radar. The Falcons have a few extra days of rest to prepare for this one playing their last game at home on a Thursday pounding Tampa Bay. The Falcons offense ranks fist in both points at 34.3 per game and yards at 455. Matt Ryan still has it as he has completed 68.5 percent of his passes with seven touchdowns and three interceptions. Steven Jackson looks to still have something left in the tank averaging 4.1 yards per carry wile Jacquizz Rodgers is averaging 3.9 yards per carry. Julio Jones leads the Falcons receivers after missing last year he has 23 catches and three touchdowns, Roddy White missed last week but he should be back for this one, and Harry Douglas and Devin Hester also have been targets for Ryan. As good as the Falcons offense is the Atlanta defense allows a 23rd ranked 24 points per game and a 27th ranked 387 yards. Paul Worrilow as 35 tackles to lead Atlanta, Joplo Bartu has 21 tackles, and Dwight Lowery has 18 tackles. The Falcons aren’t getting to the passer or creating enough turnovers which are things they will need to get better at if they hope to take this team to the playoffs.

Minnesota is 5-1 against the spread against the NFC, 5-1 against the spread following a loss, and 4-1 against the spread in their last five home games. Atlanta is 4-0 against the spread against the NFC, 2-6 against the spread following a win by 14 or more points, and 4-1 against the spread in their last five games. The favorite is 3-1-1 against the spread in the last five meetings of these two.

The total in this one is set at 47 and I can see it going over as the Falcons can simply move the ball and despite the Vikings offensive troubles moving the ball on Atlanta’s defense hasn’t proved to be a daunting task so my free pick is the over. My stronger pick is on which team will cover the spread and I will post that in the Premium Area as well as on the App. 

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Over 47

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