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Lions vs. Bills - 10/5/14 Free NFL Pick, Odds, Prediction

Buffalo Bills (2-2) at Detroit Lions (3-1)

NFL Football: Sunday, October 5, 2014 at 1:00 pm (Ford Field)

The Line: Detroit Lions -7 -- Over/Under: 44 See the Latest Odds

TV: FOX

The Buffalo Bills and Detroit Lions square off Sunday at Ford Field.

After such a quick start to the season, the Buffalo Bills have lost two straight and made a change at quarterback by benching EJ Manuel and rolling with Kyle Orton. Since 2012, Orton has only played in four games, but he has more than 15,000 career passing yards and 83 touchdowns. Orton has some solid weapons around him on the outside, including Sammy Watkins who has scored in two of his last three games. Now the concern for the Bills offense can be shifted to the running game, as they’ve scored just one rushing touchdown all season. Yes, Fred Jackson and C.J. Spiller are averaging four or more yards per carry, but the Bills 1-2 punch needs to be more productive and take on more of a scoring role if Buffalo’s offense is really going to improve. Fred Jackson has been productive through the air with 19 receptions, but this is a guy who scored nine touchdowns on the ground last season. Defensively, the Buffalo Bills are allowing 337.8 yards per game and have forced eight turnovers and 10 sacks. Preston Brown leads the Bills with 40 tackles and Leodis McKelvin has two interceptions.

Lions vs. Bills - 10/5/14 Free NFL Pick, Odds, Prediction

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The Detroit Lions have won two straight and are currently at the top of the NFC North. While everybody knows about the Lions offensive ability, it’s actually been Detroit’s defense getting the job done through the first month. The Lions are first in the NFL with an average of 267.3 yards allowed per game, and they’ve also forced five turnovers and 10 sacks. This is a nice change of pace for a Lions squad that has been brutal defensively over the years. DeAndre Levy leads the Lions with 38 tackles and Darius Slay has five pass deflections. Offensively, Matthew Stafford is completing 64.2 percent of his passes and is coming off a game where he threw zero interceptions. Surprisingly, the Lions are 2-6 SU in their last eight games when Stafford didn’t throw a pick, and both wins have come this season. Calvin Johnson’s ankle injury expects to be much better for this game.

The Bills are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a S.U. loss. The Lions are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games in October and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. 

Are the Buffalo Bills really going to be better off with Kyle Orton under center? I mean, there's a reason he's bounced around from team to team over the years. The Lions are playing solid football on both sides of the ball and have won six of their last 10 home games dating back to last season. With a healthier Calvin Johnson and all of the other weapons, I like Detroit to win by double digits. 

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Detroit Lions -7

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