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Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints Free Pick, Odds, Prediction 10/5/14

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-3) at New Orleans Saints (1-3)

NFL Football: Sunday, October 5, 2014 at 1:00 pm (Mercedes-Benz Superdome)

The Line: New Orleans Saints -11 -- Over/Under: 49 See the Latest Odds

TV: FOX HD

The New Orleans Saints have been one of the biggest surprises of the NFL season, and New Orleans will be looking to turn that around here on Sunday against the Bucs.

The New Orleans Saints are just 1-3 on the season, and even though the season is very much young, the Saints find themselves in an almost need to win situation here against the Bucs.  New Orleans has talent all over the field offensively, and this unit is playing good ball this season, but this defense is horrible.  Rob Ryan seems to just keep getting hired based upon his last name.  The fact that this guy gets more facetime on television than practically any other coordinator, offensive or defensive in the league is laughable.  The Saints secondary is atrocious, and even though there is an issue with the pass rush for New Orleans, this secondary is ranked second to worst in the NFL right now.  Behind...the Tampa Bay Bucs.  Which does play well into one thing the Saints do very well.  Move the ball on offense.  The Saints offense has been effective, both on the ground and through the air this season, and while the number may  not be what some were looking from this offense at this point, there is no doubt that the Saints have one of the top offenses in the league yet again.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints Free Pick, Odds, Prediction 10/5/14

USA TODAY Sports

The Tampa Bucs are back!  Nah.  The Bucs did get a nice win last weekend against the Steelers, but the Steelers are still a work in progress as well.  That being the case, it should be noted that the offense looked much better with Glennon under center.  Glennon graded out positively for the Bucs, and against this Saitns defense, there is no reason to expect a letdown here for Glennon.  One thing looking back on the Steelers game, was that this Bucs offense got it’s two touchdowns on drives that started in Steeler territory, including the “fluke” drive at the end of the game that earned the Bucs the win.  On the other side of the ball, the Bucs gave up touchdown drives of 60, 93, 80 yards to the Steelers and three out of the four scoring drives for Pitt ending in the end zone rather than kicking a field goal.  Not a good trend when going up against Brees at home.  If the Bucs are going to have any chance here, Tampa will need to pressure Brees and force New Orleans to settle for field goals rather than six.

The Bucs are 1-3 ATS this season, gonig 1-1 against the spread on the road.  The Saints are just 1-3 against the spread this season, showing us that New Orleans has played below expectations up to this point.

I can hear it now.  The narrative at the end of this one will be the announcers commenting on how the Saints have “found” their offense and look to be back on track as the Saints should light up this Bucs team.  Tampa does look better with Glennon under center, but the Saints are brutally good at home, and they’re angry and looking to get back on track.  You can bet that the Bucs have the Saints full attention here, and it likely won’t end pretty for Tampa.  I like New Orleans big at home on Sunday.

 

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New Orleans Saints -11

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