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Patriots vs. Bengals - 10/5/14 Free NFL Pick, Odds, Prediction

Cincinnati Bengals (3-0) at New England Patriots (2-2)

NFL Football: Sunday, October 5, 2014 at 8:30 pm (Gillette Stadium)

The Line: New England Patriots +1.5 -- Over/Under: 46 See the Latest Odds

TV: NBC

The Cincinnati Bengals and New England Patriots meet Sunday night at Gillette Stadium.

The Cincinnati Bengals have had an extra week to prepare for this game and are looking like one of the best teams in the AFC. Andy Dalton is completing 65.5 percent of his passes and the Bangals have produced 11 passing plays of 20 or more yards in just three games. A.J. Green and Mohamed Sanu have each caught 12 passes and have combined for nearly 400 receiving yards. While the Bengals ground game is averaging just 3.6 yards per carry, Giovani Bernard and Jeremy Hill have combined for five touchdowns and make the big plays when Cincy needs them the most. The Bengals are Top 15 in the NFL in both rushing and passing yardage and have won 11 straight regular season games when scoring 21 or more points. Defensively, the Cincinnati Bengals are allowing 352.7 yards per game and have forced seven turnovers and seven sacks. Emmanuel Lamur leads the Bengals with 22 tackles and Carlos Dunlap has a sack in each game this season.

Patriots vs. Bengals - 10/5/14 Free NFL Pick, Odds, Prediction

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The New England Patriots are quickly unraveling and are showing little signs of improving. Tom Brady is completing just 59.1 percent of his passes and has been sacked nine times, the Pats ground game is averaging 3.7 yards per carry and the rushing defense is ranked 23rd in the NFL. The Patriots have serious offensive line issues and it’s making every other part of their game suffer as well. Really the only good news for the Patriots offensively is that Rob Gronkowski has scored in three of the four games and Julian Edelman is a sure handed player with already 26 catches. Other than that, Brady is frustrated and isn’t able to perform at a high level, as he’s coming off a two-interception game. Defensively, the New England Patriots are allowing 315.3 yards per game and have forced eight turnovers and nine sacks. Jerod Mayo leads the Patriots with 40 tackles and Chandler Jones has 2.5 sacks.

The Bengals are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. AFC and 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games overall. The Patriots are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. 

The Bengals have shown to be one of the better teams in the NFL, while the Patriots clearly have issues on both sides of the ball that don't look to be gettin better any time soon. Getting the Bengals at this price is a gift, as I'm not sure how the Patriots can win this game, especially with Cincy having an extra week to prepare and New England having a short week. 

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Cincinnati Bengals -1.5

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