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Saints vs. Buccaneers - 10/5/14 Free NFL Pick, Odds, Prediction

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-3) at New Orleans Saints (1-3)

NFL Football: Sunday, October 5, 2014 at 1:00 pm (Mercedes-Benz Superdome)

The Line: New Orleans Saints -10.5 -- Over/Under: 48 See the Latest Odds

TV: FOX

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and New Orleans Saints play Sunday at Mercedes-Benz Superdome.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers upset the Pittsburgh Steelers in the final seconds to come away with their first win of the season. Mike Glennon completed 50 percent of his passes for two touchdowns in the victory, as the Bucs improved to 4-2 in his last six games when throwing for at least two scores. However, the Buccaneers still have one of the worst offenses in the NFL, as Glennon is completing just 57.6 percent of his passes on the season and Bobby Rainey is the only back who is remotely having any success so far. To make matters worse for Tampa Bay, wide receiver Mike Evans is expected to miss a couple of weeks with a groin injury, and he’s the Buccaneers leading receiver with 203 yards. Until Doug Martin can get going with more consistency, it’ll continue to be a struggle for the Buccaneers to put points on the board. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are allowing 387.8 yards per game and have forced six turnovers and nine sacks. Lavonte David leads the Buccaneers with 37 tackles and Alterraun Verner has four tackles for loss.

Saints vs. Buccaneers - 10/5/14 Free NFL Pick, Odds, Prediction

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The New Orleans Saints suffered probably their most embarrassing loss yet last week to the Dallas Cowboys. The main issue for the Saints struggles early on has been a defense that has allowed more than 25 points in three of their first four games. The Saints are allowing 396 yards per game, which is near the bottom of the league, and they’ve forced only one turnover and five sacks. If these issues continue, it likely won’t be long before defensive coordinator Rob Ryan is looking for yet another job. Curtis Lofton leads the Saints with 35 tackles and Junior Galette has two sacks. Offensively, the Saints are still in good hands with Drew Brees completing 71.4 percent of his passes for seven touchdowns, while Khiry Robinson and Mark Ingram have formed a decent duo in the backfield with 358 combined rushing yards. However, life will continue to be a struggle as long as the Saints continue to allow points left and right.

The Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Saints are 36-16 ATS in their last 52 home games and 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. The Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings, while the home team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

Capping the Saints has been quite easy the past couple of years. Pick the Saints at home to cover and fade the Saints on the road. We all know the Saints have magic powers when they play in the dome, and they've actually covered five straight home games dating back to last season. Give me the Saints by double digits, as the Bucs don't stand much of a chance against that NO offense. 

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New Orleans Saints -10.5

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