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Kansas City Chiefs at San Francisco 49ers Free Pick, Odds, Prediction 10/5/14

Kansas City Chiefs (2-2) at San Francisco 49ers (2-2)

NFL Football: Sunday, October 5, 2014 at 4:25 pm (Levi's Stadium)

The Line: San Francisco 49ers -5 -- Over/Under: 44.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: CBS HD

The San Francisco 49ers will be hosting the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday at Levi’s Stadium.

The San Francisco 49ers got back into the win column last weekend after an unique win against the Eagles.  I call it an unique win due to the fact that the Niners dominated the game if you watched it, but still San Francisco gave up 21 points off of a pick six, a blocked punt and a punt return for a score.  The Niners defense played an amazing game againts this Philly offense, but it should be noted that the Eagles were basically putting their reserve offensive line out there agians tthe Niners.  Colin Kaepernick has been getting some heat this season, and while some of it is well deserved (clock management comes to mind) it’s not all his fault.  The Niners offensive line has been a problem, dating back to lsat season.   Kaepernick was getting a ton of pressure from the Eagles front, right in his face, which is the toughest kind for a quarterback to face, due to the fact that he can’t “climb” the pocket and is forced outside.  The Chiefs have been able to get pressure on opposing quarterbacks this season, so this will be another big test for this unit on Sunday.  

Kansas City Chiefs at San Francisco 49ers Free Pick, Odds, Prediction 10/5/14

USA TODAY Sports

The Kansas City Chiefs might very well be the toughest team to figure out in the NFL.  The Chiefs are normally dominant at home, but K.C. got blown out by the Titans in week one at Arrowhead.  Kansas City followed that up with a loss to the Broncos (no shame in that I suppose).  Since those two opening losses however, the Chiefs have earned wins agianst the Dolphins and the Pats by a combined total of 75-29.  The Chiefs will have Jamaal CHarles healthy for this one, and while that is always a huge plus, his replacement Knile Davis is also getting it done and provides a solid fill in when Charles needs a breather.  Travis Kelce is a stud at the tight end position for the Chiefs and will be a problem for the Niners on Sunday.  One thing that does concern me about Kanas City however is their offensive line.  As bad as the Niners O-line has been, Kanasas City’s isn’t any better.  Alex Smith has proven that he can make good decisions with the ball when given time, but he also will take uncesseary sacks at times and can make bad decisinos through the air as well.  This game may very well come down to which defense gets more pressure on the oppsing quarterback.

The Chiefs are 3-1 against the spread this sesaon, and are 2-0 ATS on the road.  The Niners are 2-2 ATS and at home the Niners are 1-1 against the spread.

I’ve been back and forth on this one, but the value here looks to be on the Chiefs.  The Niners are better than their record states, as San Francisco should have beaten the Bears if it weren’t for a fourth quarter meltdown.  That being the case, the Chiefs are fresh off a dismantling of the Pats on Monday night, and the Chiefs will either be riding that high, or have a letdown game here on the road.  I won’t be on this one, but getting more than a field goal with the Chiefs looks like the side I’d be on if I were playing it.

 

 

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Kansas City Chiefs +5

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