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Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans 10/9/14 NFL Thursday Night Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Indianapolis Colts (3-2) at Houston Texans (3-2)

NFL Football: Thursday, October 9, 2014 at 8:25 pm (NRG Stadium)

The Line: Houston Texans +3 -- Over/Under: 46.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: CBS, NFL Network

The Indianapolis Colts and the Houston Texans face off on Thursday at Reliant Stadium in a huge early season NFL Thursday Night Football matchup in the AFC South.

The AFC South looks to be a two team race as both the Colts and the Texans seem to be the only teams in the division who can put wins on the board. The Colts started the season slow but they have won their last three games playing a pretty tough schedule. For Indy on the offensive side it has been Andrew Luck getting it done once again finding the open receivers and while it isn’t mentioned as often, using his feet to pick up first downs. Luck has been helped out by the return of Reggie Wayne, a certain first ballot Hall of Fame member, who teamed with T.Y. Hilton make up one of the better receiver tandems in the NFL. In the backfield Trent Richardson looks to be improving but he is always going to be judged by what he was traded for, two first round draft picks, but he never seems to get a lot of credit for his blocking ability which helps Luck make some of those “miraculous” plays but Ahmad Bradshaw has been the more effective ball carrier. Defensively the Colts are still trying to rebuild their pass rush that is without Robert Mathis for the season. D’Qwell Jackson was a big pickup for Indy and it is paying off as he leads the defense in tackles and Cory Redding and Bjoem Warner try and pick up the slack in the pass rush department. The Colts have ben a playoff team the past two seasons but are trying to take it another step further.

Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans 10/9/14 NFL Thursday Night Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

This Houston Texans were so bad last year they had the first overall pick in this year’s NFL draft and they already have more wins than they had last year. While the Texans were one of the favorites to play in the Super Bowl a season ago, they fell flat on their face and they are regrouping this season but sill have plenty of holes to fill. Ryan Fitzpatrick is the Texans QB but he looks to be the same player we have seen throughout the years with more interceptions than touchdowns. A few years ago Arian Foster was seen as the premier back in the NFL and he is looking to resume that role averaging 4.7 yards per carry with three touchdowns and with Andre Johnson healthy again the Texans has a solid group of receivers with Johnson and DeAndre Hopkins. Another returning player is Brian Cushing who is one of the best overall defenders in the NFL and J.J. Watt is in the discussion for one of the top overall players in the NFL. This is a big game for the Texans who need a win here to show they are back and they are ready to be a playoff contender once again.

See All Of Our Free Picks and Predictions For this Week's NFL Games

Indianapolis is 5-1 against the spread following a win, 14-3 against the spread against the AFC South, and 5-2 against the spread following a game that they covered the point spread. Houston is 5-1 against the spread in their last six games, 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 home games, and 1-6 against the spread against the AFC South. The home team has covered the point spread in seven of the last eight meetings of these two.

While the total is rising in this one I don’t see where the points are going to come from and my free pick is a solid play on the Under. My stronger pick is on who will cover the spread and I will post that in the Premium Area as well as on the App. 

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Under 46.5

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