Panthers vs. Saints - 10/30/14 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
New Orleans Saints (3-4) at Carolina Panthers (3-4-1)
NFL Football: Thursday, October 30, 2014 at 8:25 pm (Bank of America Stadium)
The Line: Carolina Panthers +2.5 -- Over/Under: 48 See the Latest Odds
The New Orleans Saints and Carolina Panthers battle it out for first place in the NFC South Thursday at Bank of America Stadium.
The New Orleans Saints are coming off a big win over the Green Bay Packers, but are now looking for their first road win of the season. Drew Brees is completing 69.5 percent of his passes for 14 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Brees has five touchdowns and one pick in his last two games. We’re likely going to see a more productive Brees now that Jimmy Graham appears to be healthy, as he’s coming off a five-catch performance that included his fourth touchdown of the season. Of course, Graham is a huge part of the Saints offense and will really help open things up moving forward. The Saints have 22 passing plays of 20 or more yards and Marques Colston and Brandin Cooks have combined for 10 of those. With injuries to the Saints backfield, Mark Ingram is coming off possibly his best game of his career with 172 yards and a touchdown. Khiry Robinsonremains questionable with a forearm injury. Defensively, the New Orleans Saints are allowing 26.9 points, 390.4 yards, and has forced 13 sacks and seven turnovers. Curtis Lofton leads the Saints with 65 tackles and Junior Galette has four sacks.
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The Carolina Panthers haven’t won since week five and are coming off a tough loss to the Seattle Seahawks. Cam Newton is completing 60.1 percent of his passes for eight touchdowns and four interceptions. Newton has thrown a pick in four straight games and is coming off a performance where he didn’t score a single touchdown. Kelvin Benjamin has made a strong case for rookie of the year, as he leads the Panthers with 571 receiving yards and has caught a touchdown in two of his last three games. Benjamin and Greg Olsen have combined for 10 of the Panthers 12 touchdown passes and 14 of their 26 receptions of 20 or more yards this season. If the Panthers offense is ever going to get going, it needs to improve its ground game that’s averaging 3.5 yards per carry. Jonathan Stewart has 129 rushing yards in his last two games and DeAngelo Williams remains questionable with an ankle injury. Defensively, the Carolina Panthers are allowing 26 points, 378.5 yards, and have forced 16 sacks and 14 turnovers. Luke Kuechly leads the Panthers with 89 tackles and Roman Harper has three interceptions.
The Saints are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games in Week 9 and3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games. The Panthers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in October and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 vs. he NFC South. The Saints are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Carolina.
Until the Saints can prove they can win on the road, I can't back them. New Orleans is a completely different team outside of that dome and I've done fairly well fading them all season when traveling. While the Saints and the low line is tempting, the Saints have to show and prove before they get my money.