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Giants vs. Colts - 11/3/14 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Indianapolis Colts (5-3) at New York Giants (3-4)

NFL Football: Monday, November 3, 2014 at 8:30 pm (MetLife Stadium)

The Line: New York Giants +3 -- Over/Under: 50.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN

The Indianapolis Colts and New York Giants play Monday night at MetLife Stadium.

The Indianapolis Colts look to bounce back from their blowout loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers and stretch their lead in the AFC South. Andrew Luck gives the Colts the best passing offense in the league, as he’s completing 64.8 percent of his passes for 22 touchdowns and nine interceptions. Luck has thrown eight touchdowns in his last three games and the Colts have won 10 of their last 14 games when he throws at least two touchdowns. The Colts have produced 40 passing plays of 20 or more yards and Dwayne Allen has caught a touchdown in five of his last six games. T.Y. Hilton leads the Colts with 866 receiving yards and Reggie Wayne remains questionable after missing last week with an elbow injury. The Colts ground game is averaging four yards per carry and Ahmad Bradshaw has scored three touchdowns in his last two games. Defensively, the Indianapolis Colts are allowing 23.4 points, 352.1 yards, and they’ve forced 14 turnovers and 21 sacks. D'Qwell Jackson leads the Colts with 65 tackles and Cory Redding has three sacks.

Giants vs. Colts - 11/3/14 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The New York Giants are coming off of a bye week and hope to snap their two-game losing streak. The Giants offense has taken a hit with the loss of wide receiver Victor Cruz and now leading rusher Rashad Jennings is doubtful with a knee injury. Eli Manning is completing 64.9 percent of his passes for 14 touchdowns and five interceptions. Manning has thrown five touchdowns and zero picks in his last three games and the Giants have won eight of their last 13 games when he doesn’t throw an interception. The Giants have 18 passing plays of 20 or more yards and Victor Cruz has eight of them. Larry Donnell and Rueben Randle will have to carry the load without Cruz on the field, and they’ve combined for six touchdowns. With Jennings likely out, the running game will fall in the lap of rookie Andre Williams, who has 110 rushing yards in his last two games. Defensively, the New York Giants are allowing 24.1 points, 384.4 yards, and they’ve forced 13 sacks and 13 turnovers. Jacquian Williams leads the Giants with 51 tackles and Jason Pierre-Paul has 3.5 sacks.

The Colts are 15-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 Monday games. The Giants are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a bye week and 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. 

Even with the bye week, I simply can’t buy the New York Giants. The Giants are banged up on both sides of the ball and have shown no signs of consistency throughout the season. We know what the Colts are and they’ll be eager to redeem themselves after putting up a horrible defensive performance last week against the Steelers. Getting the Colts and the small number seems to be the way to go here.

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Indianapolis Colts -3

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