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Ravens vs. Titans - 11/9/14 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Tennessee Titans (2-6) at Baltimore Ravens (5-4)

NFL Football: Sunday, November 9, 2014 at 1:00 pm (M&T Bank Stadium)

The Line: Baltimore Ravens -10 -- Over/Under: 43.5 See the Latest Odds


The Tennessee Titans and Baltimore Ravens meet Sunday at M&T Bank Stadium.

The Tennessee Titans are coming off a bye week after losing six of their first eight games. The Titans offense struggles whether Jake Locker, Charlie Whitehurst or Zach Mettenberger is at quarterback. However, Mettenberger has played decent for a rookie with limited weapons, as he’s completing 63 percent of his passes for two touchdowns and two interceptions. Mettenberger will continue to get the nod, as he’s shown the most promise. The Titans have 20 passing plays of 20 or more yards and are averaging 12.1 yards per catch. Delanie Walker and Justin Hunter have combined for more than 800 receiving yards and six touchdowns, while Kendall Wright has scored three touchdowns in his last four games. The Titans ground game is averaging four yards per carry and rookie Bishop Sankey leads the way with 302 yards and a touchdown. Defensively, the Tennessee Titans are allowing 25.3 points, 375.8 yards, and they’ve forced 23 sacks and 11 turnovers. Michael Griffin leads the Titans with 58 tackles and Jurrell Casey has four sacks.

Ravens vs. Titans - 11/9/14 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Baltimore Ravens have lost back-to-back games and need a win here to stay in the AFC North race. Joe Flacco is completing 62.7 percent of his passes for 16 touchdowns and eight interceptions. Flacco has four touchdowns and five picks in his last three games, and last week’s loss snapped a six-game winning streak of when he throws at least two touchdowns. The Ravens have 28 passing plays of 20 or more yards, and Steve Smith and Torrey Smith have combined for more than 1,000 yards and nine touchdowns. Owen Daniels has caught 12 of his 33 passes in his last two games. The Ravens ground game is averaging 4.4 yards per carry, and Justin Forsett and Lorenzo Taliaferro have combined for seven of Baltimore’s nine rushing touchdowns. Defensively, the Baltimore Ravens are allowing 19.3 points, 349.7 yards, and they’ve forced 20 sacks and 13 turnovers. C.J. Mosley leads the Ravens with 85 tackles and Terrell Suggs has 3.5 sacks.

The Titans are 16-35-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Ravens are 7-3-2 ATS in their last 12 games in November and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 vs. AFC. The Titans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings, while the underdog is 17-5 ATS in their last 22 meetings.

I'm not laying double-digit points here. Instead, I'm looking at the over as the projected total seems a tad bit too low. The over has hit in the Ravens last seven games and is 9-3 in Titans last 12 vs. a team with a winning record. Expect points to be scored in this game, especially from the Ravens side considering the Titans play little to no defense. 

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Over 43.5

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