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Broncos vs. Dolphins - 11/23/14 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Miami Dolphins (6-4) at Denver Broncos (7-3)

NFL Football: Sunday, November 23, 2014 at 4:25 pm (Sports Authority Field at Mile High)

The Line: Denver Broncos -7 -- Over/Under: 49 See the Latest Odds


The Miami Dolphins and Denver Broncos play Sunday at Sports Authority Field at Mile High.

The Miami Dolphins have won four of their last five games and are thinking playoffs. The Dolphins are led by a defense that’s allowing 18 points, 302.5 yards, and has forced 30 sacks and 19 turnovers. The Miami Dolphins have won nine of their last 13 games when allowing 28 or less points. Jelani Jenkins leads the Dolphins with 68 tackles and Cameron Wake has 8.5 sacks. Offensively, Ryan Tannehill is completing 65.4 percent of his passes for 17 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Tannehill has six touchdowns and one pick in his last three games, and the Dolphins have won five of their last seven games when he doesn’t throw an interception. Mike Wallace and Jarvis Landry have combined for more than 900 receiving yards and nine touchdowns, while Brian Hartline has nine of his 29 catches in his last three games. The Dolphins ground game is averaging 4.7 yards, as Lamar Miller leads the way with 614 yards and five touchdowns.

Broncos vs. Dolphins - 11/23/14 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Denver Broncos have lost two of their last three games and are banged up. Emmanuel Sanders, Montee Ball and Julius Thomas are either questionable or ruled out of this game with injuries. Still, Peyton Manning is completing 67.1 percent of his passes for 30 touchdowns and nine interceptions. Manning has eight touchdowns and six picks in his last three games, and the Broncos are 5-5 when he throws at least two interceptions. Demaryius Thomas leads the Broncos with 1,105 receiving yards and six touchdowns, while Wes Welker has eight of his 30 catches in his last two games. The Broncos ground game is averaging 3.7 yards per carry, as Ronnie Hillman leads the way with 378 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, the Denver Broncos are allowing 22.4 points, 316.4 yards, and they’ve forced 12 turnovers and 27 sacks. Brandon Marshall leads Denver with 90 tackles and Von Miller has 10 sacks.  

The Dolphins are 29-12 ATS in their last 41 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Broncos are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Dolphins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Denver and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings overall.

It’s hard to back the Denver Broncos here, a banged up team on the offensive side of the ball. Meanwhile, the Dolphins are playing with more and more confidence each week and have had a week and a half to get ready for the matchup. I wouldn’t be surprised if Miami won this game outright but the free touchdown is the easy pick.

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Miami Dolphins +7

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