Saints vs. Ravens - 11/24/14 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Baltimore Ravens (6-4) at New Orleans Saints (4-6)
NFL Football: Monday, November 24, 2014 at 8:30 pm (Mercedes-Benz Superdome)
The Line: New Orleans Saints -3 -- Over/Under: 49.5 See the Latest Odds
The Baltimore Ravens and New Orleans Saints play Monday night at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome.
The Baltimore Ravens have split their last four games and are coming off a much needed bye week. Joe Flacco is completing 62.4 percent of his passes for 17 touchdowns and eight interceptions. Flacco has three touchdowns and three picks in his last three games, and the Ravens are 2-4 this season when he throws at least one interception. Steve Smith and Torrey Smith have combined for close to 1,200 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns, while Owen Daniels has eight of his 35 receptions in his last two games. The Ravens ground attack is averaging 4.4 yards per carry, as Justin Forsett leads the way with 721 yards and five scores and Lorenzo Taliaferro has scored two of his four touchdowns in the last three games. Defensively, the Baltimore Ravens are allowing 18.1 points, 335.7 yards, and they’ve forced 15 turnovers and 25 sacks. C.J. Mosley leads Baltimore with 90 tackles and Elvis Dumervil has 10.5 sacks.
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The New Orleans Saints have lost three of their last five games and look nothing like the team of old. The main reason is the Saints defense is allowing 25.2 points, 369.9 yards, and has forced 10 turnovers and 22 sacks. Curtis Lofton leads the Saints with 93 tackles and Junior Galette has six sacks. Offensively, Drew Brees is completing 69.5 percent of his passes for 19 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Brees has four touchdowns and two picks in his last two games, and the Saints have lost five of their last six regular season games when he throws one or less touchdowns. Brandin Cooks has been ruled out with a thumb injury, which puts more pressure on Jimmy Graham, who leads the Saints with 623 receiving yards and seven touchdowns. The Saints ground game is averaging 4.5 yards per carry, as Mark Ingram leads the way with 618 rushing yards and six touchdowns.
The Ravens are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Monday games and 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. The Saints are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Monday games and 25-9 ATS in their last 34 home games. The Ravens are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Regardless of how bad the Saints are playing, they have always been nearly unbeatable at home in primetime games. This one is easy for me. Take the Saints and the small chalk.