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Chiefs vs. Broncos - 11/30/14 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Denver Broncos (8-3) at Kansas City Chiefs (7-4)

NFL Football: Sunday, November 30, 2014 at 8:30 pm (Arrowhead Stadium)

The Line: Kansas City Chiefs +2 -- Over/Under: 49.5 See the Latest Odds


The Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs play a big AFC West matchup Sunday night at Arrowhead Stadium.

The Denver Broncos have split their last four games and enter this matchup banged up on the offensive side. Peyton Manning is completing 68.1 percent of his passes for 34 touchdowns and nine interceptions. Manning has 10 touchdowns and four picks in his last three games, and the Broncos have 46 passing plays of 20 or more yards. Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders have combined for more than 2,200 receiving yards and 16 touchdowns while Wes Welker has 12 receptions in his last three games. Julius Thomas remains questionable for this matchup with an ankle injury. The Broncos ground game is averaging four yards per carry, as C.J. Anderson is coming off a 167-yard performance last week. Defensively, the Denver Broncos are allowing 23.6 points, 316.1 yards, and they’ve forced 28 sacks and 13 turnovers. Brandon Marshall leads Denver with 94 tackles and Von Miller has 10 sacks.

Chiefs vs. Broncos - 11/30/14 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Kansas City Chiefs have won five of their last six games and need a win to tie for first place in the AFC West. Alex Smith is completing 65.1 percent of his passes for 13 touchdowns and four interceptions. Smith has three touchdowns and zero picks in his last three games, and the Chiefs have 27 passing plays of 20 or more yards. Dwayne Bowe and Travis Kelce have combined for close to 1,100 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Anthony Fasano has caught a touchdown in two of his last three games. The Chiefs ground attack is averaging 4.7 yards per carry, as Jamaal Charles leads the way with 772 rushing yards and eight touchdowns. Defensively, the Kansas City Chiefs are allowing 17.7 points, 328.3 yards, and they’ve forced 31 sacks and eight turnovers. Josh Mauga leads the Chiefs with 76 tackles and Justin Houston has 13 sacks.

The Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November and 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 vs. AFC West. The Chiefs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss. The Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Kansas City while the underdog is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings.

I don't like the way the Denver Broncos are playing, as they're banged up and that defense is suspect to say the least. If the Dolphins can move the ball up and down the field on Denver, Charles and company can do the same. I like the Chiefs in this matchup and I say forget the points. 

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