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Jets vs. Patriots - 12/21/14 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New England Patriots (11-3) at New York Jets (3-11)

NFL Football: Sunday, December 21, 2014 at 1:00 pm (MetLife Stadium)

The Line: New York Jets +10 -- Over/Under: 47 See the Latest Odds

TV: CBS

The New England Patriots and New York Jets square off Sunday at MetLife Stadium.

The New England Patriots have won nine of their last 10 games and have already clinched the AFC East. Tom Brady is completing 64.4 percent of his passes for 32 touchdowns and eight interceptions. Bray has six touchdowns and two picks in his last three games, and the Patriots have 44 passing plays of 20 or more yards. Rob Gronkowski and Julian Edelman have combined for more than 2,000 receiving yards and 15 touchdowns while Brandon LaFell has 15 of his 63 receptions in his last three games. The Patriots ground game is averaging 3.9 yards per carry, as Jonas Gray leads the way with 407 rushing yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, the New England Patriots are allowing 20 points, 352.2 yards, and they’ve forced 36 sacks and 23 turnovers. Jamie Collins leads New England with 100 tackles and Rob Ninkovich has eight sacks.

Jets vs. Patriots - 12/21/14 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The New York Jets have lost three of their last five games and play their last home contest. Geno Smith is completing 57.8 percent of his passes for nine touchdowns and 12 interceptions. Smith has two touchdowns and two picks in his last three games, and the Jets have 29 passing plays of 20 or more yards. Eric Decker and Jeremy Kerley have combined for more than 1,000 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Percy Harvin has seven receptions in his last three games. The Jets ground game is averaging 4.7 yards per carry, as Chris Ivory leads the way with 739 rushing yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, the New York Jets are allowing 25.7 points, 329.8 yards, and they’ve forced 34 sacks and 11 turnovers. David Harris leads the Jets with 105 tackles and Sheldon Richardson has 6.5 sacks.

The Patriots are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Jets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games and 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games in December. The Patriots are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 meetings in New York and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings overall.

Rex Ryan and the Jets have given Tom Brady and the Pats fits for as long as I can remember. In fact, four of the last five meetings between these two teams have been decided by three points. While the Jets are brutal, I'll take the free 10 points here. 

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New York Jets +10

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