Seahawks vs. Packers - 1/18/15 NFC Conference Championship Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Green Bay Packers (12-4) at Seattle Seahawks (12-4)
NFL Football: Sunday, January 18, 2015 at 3:05 pm (CenturyLink Field)
The Line: Seattle Seahawks -7 -- Over/Under: 46.5 See the Latest Odds
The Green Bay Packers and Seattle Seahawks play Sunday afternoon in the NFC Conference Championship at CenturyLink Field.
The Green Bay Packers are coming off a big win over the Dallas Cowboys but much of their concern is the health of quarterback Aaron Rodgers. Although Rodgers completed nearly 69 percent of his passes for three touchdowns, his calf injury is a major issue and really limits his mobility. Against the best defense in the league, Rodgers must get rid of the ball quickly if he’s going to survive. One player who could help take some of the pressure of Rodgers is running back Eddie Lacy, who has 100 or more rushing yards in two straight games. Randall Cobb and Jordy Nelson have combined for 40 receptions in their last three games. Defensively, the Packers must play their best game of the season if they’re going to advance, and they’ve allowed 20 or more points in seven of their last eight games. Clay Matthews and Julius Peppers have to do a good job of pressuring the quarterback.
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The Seattle Seahawks are one win away from returning to their second straight national championship. The Seahawks will continue to rely heavily on their defense that’s ranked the best in the league and has allowed 14 or less points in six of their last seven games. Kam Chancellor, Richard Sherman and Earl Thomas are the main guys to pay attention to and simply help take this unit to another level. Offensively, Russell Wilson has five touchdowns and one pick in his last three games and is coming off a game where he completed 68.2 percent of his passes. Seattle will be without Paul Richardson who tore his ACL but Doug Baldwin has 13 receptions in his last two games. You could expect a bigger workload for Marshawn Lynch, who has just 28 carries in his last two games and has scored four times in his last four games.
The Packers are 7-2-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss. The Seahawks are 37-16-2 ATS in their last 55 home games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 playoff games. The home team is 4-1-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Even with a healthy Rodgers, it would have been tough for the Packers to win this game. The Seahawks defense looks as elite as it was a season ago and the crowd is second to none. While the Packers should never be counted out with Rodgers ability to throw the ball, this has the potential to get out of hand quickly due to his injury. I'm going to lay the touchdown here and say the Seahawks win by double digits.