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Patriots vs. Dolphins - 10/29/15 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Miami Dolphins (3-3) at New England Patriots (6-0)

NFL Football: Thursday, October 29, 2015 at 8:25 pm (Gillette Stadium)

The Line: New England Patriots -7.5 -- Over/Under: 51 See the Latest Odds


The Miami Dolphins and New England Patriots play Thursday night at Gillette Stadium.

The Miami Dolphins look for their third road victory to get a game above a .500 record. Ryan Tannehill is completing 62.6 percent of his passes for 1,628 yards, 13 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Tannehill has two or more touchdown passes in five straight games. Jarvis Landry and Rishard Matthews have combined for 833 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Jordan Cameron has 17 receptions. The Miami Dolphins ground game is averaging 117.5 yards per contest, and Lamar Miller leads the way with 419 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Miami is allowing 22.8 points and 369.8 yards per game. Reshad Jones leads the Dolphins with 59 tackles, Cameron Wake has six sacks and Brent Grimes has nine pass deflections. Bobby McCain is questionable.

Patriots vs. Dolphins - 10/29/15 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The New England Patriots look to remain unbeaten and build on their lead in the AFC East. Tom Brady is completing 68.9 percent of his passes for 2,054 yards, 16 touchdowns and one interception. Brady has seven touchdown passes in his last three games. Rob Gronkowski and Julian Edelman have combined for 1,036 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns while Danny Amendola has 25 receptions. The New England Patriots ground game is averaging 83.7 yards per contest, and LeGarrette Blount leads the way with 246 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, New England is allowing 21 points and 358.7 yards per game. Jamie Collins leads the Pats with 49 tackles, Chandler Jones has 6.5 sacks and Malcolm Butler has seven pass deflections. Brandon Bolden, Dion Lewis and Jabaal Sheard are questionable.

The Dolphins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC East. The Patriots are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win and 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 home games. The Dolphins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in New England. 

The Dolphins are a completely new team under coach Dan Campbell, as they're actually playing to their potential on both sides of the ball. Sure, the Patriots are probably the best team in the AFC, but they're also coming off a dog fight against the Jets. Meanwhile, the fins were able to ease up on their starters in the second half due to a blowout. That helps when playing on short rest.

Give me the Dolphins and the points, as the hook should make this a winner.

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Miami Dolphins +7.5

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