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New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills - 11/23/15 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Buffalo Bills (5-4) at New England Patriots (9-0)

NFL Football: Monday, November 23, 2015 at 8:30 pm (Gillette Stadium)

The Line: New England Patriots -7 -- Over/Under: 48.5 See the Latest Odds


The Buffalo Bills and New England Patriots play an AFC East battle Monday night at Gillette Stadium.

The Buffalo Bills look for some consistency after splitting their last eight games. Tyrod Taylor is completing 70.5 percent of his passes for 1,436 yards, 11 touchdowns and four interceptions. Taylor has three touchdown passes in his last three games. Charles Clay and Sammy Watkins have combined for 737 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Robert Woods has 29 receptions. The Buffalo Bills ground game is averaging 142.3 yards per contest, and LeSean McCoy leads the way with 528 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Buffalo is allowing 23 points and 349.6 yards per game. Corey Graham leads the Bills with 77 tackles, Jerry Hughes has three sacks and Ronald Darby has 18 pass deflections. Cyrus Kouandjio is questionable with a knee injury.

New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills - 11/23/15 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The New England Patriots have lost just one regular season home game since 2013. Tom Brady is completing 67.8 percent of his passes for 3,043 yards, 24 touchdowns and three interceptions. Brady has eight touchdown passes in his last three games. Rob Gronkowski and Danny Amendola have combined for 1,209 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns while Brandon LaFell has 13 receptions. The New England Patriots ground game is averaging 92.8 yards per contest, and LeGarrette Blount leads the way with 513 receiving yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, New England is allowing 18.8 points and 343.8 yards per game. Jamie Collins leads the Pats with 51 tackles, Chandler Jones has 10.5 sacks and Malcolm Butler has 11 pass deflections. Jamie Collins, Marcus Cannon and Sebastian Vollmer are questionable.

This line is nuts in my eyes. Not only did the Bills outplay the Pats earlier in the season, but they've had extra time to prepare for this game while New England is coming off a dogfight against the Giants in which they probably should have lost. Also, Rex Ryan has a long history of giving Brady problems and the Pats just loss their top receiver in Julian Edelman.

I think the Bills can win this outright. However, a free touchdown sounds good to me. 

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Buffalo Bills +7

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