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New York Giants at Buffalo Bills - 8/20/16 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New York Giants (6-10) at Buffalo Bills (8-8)

NFL Football: Saturday, August 20, 2016 at 4:00 pm (Ralph Wilson Stadium)

The Line: Buffalo Bills -2.5 -- Over/Under: 40 See the Latest Odds

TV:

The New York Giants make the short trip to Orchard Park to take on the Buffalo Bills in week 2 preseason action.

The New York Giants came out to a strong start jumping to a 10-0 1st quarter lead over the visiting Miami Dolphins, until Miami stormed back with 27 unanswered points to defeat the G-men, 27-10. Ryan Nassib struggled mightily in his first preseason action, going 7-15 for 75 yards, with 2 interceptions and 3 fumbles which undoubtedly okayed a factor in the Dolphins victory. The majority of the Giants offense last Friday was on the ground as 9 different ball carriers combined for 158 yards on 32 carries. Most notably was projected #1 running back Rashad Jennings who had 3 carries for 11 yards and a touchdown, and second-string Shane Vereen with only 1 carry for 19 yards, both in limited action. The main concern for Big Blue is that Victor Cruz is nursing yet another injury, albeit a minor one, the Giants just want a year where their star wideout is healthy. However New York is hopeful that Cruz has made enough progress that he can at least see a little bit of playing time against the Bills.

New York Giants at Buffalo Bills - 8/20/16 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Buffalo Bills narrowly dropped a 19-18 decision to the Indianapolis Colts last Saturday. The Bills jumped out to an early 9-0 lead before Indy tied it going into halftime, and both traded the lead back and forth until the very last second, literally. Down 19-12, Cardale Jones connected with Jarrett Boykin to cut the deficit to 1, and in a move that I’m sure was made only because it’s the preseason, the Bills decided to go for 2 and failed the conversion attempt, giving the Colts a narrow victory. A lot of the Bills we saw looked good, Buffalo projected starter Tyrod Taylor went 2-3 for  7 yards on his only drive, while LeSean McCoy only had one carry. Backup quarterback E.J. Manuel showed signs of life as well, going 10-18 for 91 yards and the opening touchdown. Cardale Jones saw the majority of the quarterback work down the stretch, completing 11 of 21 passes for 162 yards and the last second touchdown we just mentioned, while Walt Powell led the receiving core with 4 receptions for 88 yards. The Bills managed to have a pretty efficient day on the offensive end despite the loss, putting up 372 yards of total offense, 246 through the air.

New York is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Saturday games and 9-1-1 in their last 11 games on turf, while the over is 4-0 in their last 4 games overall. Buffalo is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 on turf, while the under is 12-5 in their last 17 home games. New York is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

This game for me comes down to the simple fact that the Bills have a lot more going on in terms of position battles so their guys are going to want to play harder to gain the edge. New York will show up, but Buffalo just has way more to play for internally.

Give me Buffalo to cover.

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Buffalo Bills -2.5

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