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New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys - 9/11/16 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New York Giants (6-10) at Dallas Cowboys (4-12)

NFL Football: Sunday, September 11, 2016 at 4:25 pm (AT&T Stadium)

The Line: Dallas Cowboys -1 -- Over/Under: 46 See the Latest Odds

TV: FOX

The New York Giants head to AT&T Stadium to take on the Dallas Cowboys to kick off their respective 2016 NFL seasons.

The New York Giants come off of a disappointing 2015 campaign that saw the G-men finish a disappointing 6-10, losing 6 of their last 7 games to finish the season. Key pieces such as starting quarterback Eli Manning return for the 2016 season, Manning threw for over 4400 yards and 35 touchdowns while countering that with 14 interceptions. Rashad Jennings emerges as the leader of the Giants running back core while Big Blue is hoping that they can finally get an injury-free season for former pro-bowl wide receiver Victor Cruz, who would be the perfect 1-2 combo alongside Odell Beckham Jr. The big question for Giants fans is how will the team perform under new head coach Ben McAdoo. McAdoo, who was brought in to replace former head coach Tom Coughlin, has yet to handle the head coaching duties of an NFL team in his career, however the Giants offense has experience with McAdoo as he was the team’s offensive coordinator the last 2 seasons.

New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys - 9/11/16 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Dallas Cowboys are looking to improve on a dismal 2015 season that saw America’s team finish in the NFC East basement with a 4-12 record. The question that Cowboys fans want answered is how will the team do without starting QB Tony Romo. Romo suffered a back injury in the preseason, and the team has yet to decide whether or not Romo would be placed on IR  and given his timetable of 8-10 weeks for recovery, it’s likely that Romo may see even less action than his 4 starts in 2015, leaving the snaps to be taken by week 1 starter rookie Dak Prescott or backup Mark Sanchez for the Cowboys. Cornerstones like Dez Bryant and Jason Witten return. What Cowboys fans will be looking for is an improvement on the defensive side of the ball as well, as Dallas finished in the middle of the pack in all of the defensive categories last season.

New York is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 in week 1 while the over is 4-0 in New York’s last 4 games overall. Dallas is 10-25-1 ATS in their last 36 home games and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 overall while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 games in September. The total has gone over in the last 7 meetings in Dallas.

The line for this game has fallen from Dallas being a 3.5 point favorite, down to almost a pick ‘em, in which case I’m all over Dallas. Sure, Dallas may have to go week 1 without Tony Romo, but they dealt without Romo for most of last year, albeit mostly unsuccessfully, but from watching Prescott in the preseason, he seems comfortable and he seems to get it. New York has a new head coach, so there’s bound to be some jitters even if he has been with the team the last couple of seasons.

I’ll lay the point with Dallas, but if the idea of playing this game makes you queasy, I’ll lean towards the over as well as it has hit in the last 7 games in Dallas, plus these games usually tend to be more high-scoring anyways. 

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Dallas Cowboys -1 / Over 46

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