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Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions - 9/25/16 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Detroit Lions (1-1) at Green Bay Packers (1-1)

NFL Football: Sunday, September 25, 2016 at 1:00 pm (Lambeau Field)

The Line: Green Bay Packers -8 -- Over/Under: 48 See the Latest Odds

TV: FOX

Over at Lambeau Field on Sunday, September 25, we’ve got Week 3 NFL divisional action in the NFC North between the Detroit Lions and the Green Bay Packers. 

The Lions come into this one at 1-1 following a tough Week 2 loss versus the Titans. In that matchup, the Detroit defense allowed Marcus Mariota to march down the field late in the game to cap the comeback win 16-15. Over on the Detroit side, QB Matthew Stafford finished 22-of-40 for 260 yards, a TD and an interception. Amber Abdullah was the leader of a pretty flimsy Detroit running game with six carries for 38 yards. Marvin Jones led the Lions in receiving, with a game-high eight catches and 118 yards. That gives Stafford a total of 600 passing yards, four touchdowns and one pick. Abdullah has 18 rush attempts (tied with Theo Riddick for the team lead) for 101 yards overall. Jones leads the Lions in receiving through two games with 12 receptions on 21 targets for 203 yards, but hasn’t found the end zone yet. 

Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions - 9/25/16 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

As for the Packers, they suffered a somewhat shocking defeat in Week 2 as well. In a matchup against the Vikings, Green Bay fell 17-14, allowing Minnesota QB Sam Bradford to go 22-of-31 for 286 yards and two touchdowns. Packers QB Aaron Rodgers had a tough time keeping pace, logging a 20-of-36 line for 213 yards, one touchdown and one interception (Rogers did have a rushing TD). Eddie Lacy couldn’t find much running room for Green Bay with 12 carries for just 50 yards, and Jordy Nelson led the receiving corps with five catches for 73 yards and a score. That gives Nelson the team lead through two games with 11 grabs for 105 yards and two TDs. Rogers has 412 passing yards with three scores, and Lacy leads the Packers on the ground with 26 attempts for 111 yards—and no touchdowns yet. 

The Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games, and 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall. Detroit is also 5-2 ATS in their last seven against the NFC, and 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 Week 3 games. 

Meanwhile, the Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last six September games, and 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight-up loss. Green Bay is also 5-2 ATS in their last seven games on grass, and 1-4 ATS in their last five home games. 

Green Bay is the division favorite this year, and they’ve got to get it going at some point. I think the Packers will turn it up at home against the Lions and cover the spread here—they’ve just got too much offensive talent to keep coming up thin.

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Green Bay Packers -8

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