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Indianapolis Colts vs. Chicago Bears - 10/9/16 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Chicago Bears (1-3) at Indianapolis Colts (1-3)

NFL Football: Sunday, October 9, 2016 at 1:00 pm (Lucas Oil Stadium)

The Line: Indianapolis Colts -4.5 -- Over/Under: 47.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: FOX

On Sunday, October 9 over at Lucas Oil Stadium, we’ve got Week 5 NFL action coming our way when the Chicago Bears visit the Indianapolis Colts in a Midwest football matchup. 

The Bears will be entering this game at 1-3 on the season, but the good news is that Chicago got their first win of the year this past Sunday. In a divisional game against the Lions, the Bears eked by 17-14, buoyed by backup QB Brian Hoyer and his 28-of-36 line for 302 yards and two touchdowns. Jordan Howard also came up big for Chicago here, rushing for 111 yards on 23 carries. Eddie Royal was the main receiver for the Bears with seven grabs for 111 yards and one TD. 

Indianapolis Colts vs. Chicago Bears - 10/9/16 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

Key Chicago players like QB Jay Cutler, RB Jeremy Langford and WR Alshon Jeffery have been banged up with injuries lately, so it’ll be up to the backups to make a difference in the interim. Hoyer has played well for the Bears with 697 yards on 67-of-97 passing and four touchdowns, while Howard leads the team in rushing with 178 yards on 35 carries. Royal is second in the Bears’ receiving corps with 22 targets, 18 receptions and 241 yards with two touchdowns. 

Meanwhile, the Colts sit in a three-way tie in the AFC South at 1-3 following a divisional game in jolly old England against the Jaguars this past Sunday. Indianapolis was down 23-6 heading into the fourth quarter in that one, but scored three touchdowns in the final period to make things interesting. Colts QB Andrew Luck couldn’t do much until moving to a hurry-up offense in the fourth, and he’d finish with a 27-of-42 line for 234 yards and two scores with a pick. RB Frank Gore led Indianapolis in rushing with 16 carries for 68 yards and a TD, while Phillip Dorsett was the high man in the receiving game with one catch for 64 yards and a score. 

On the season in Indianapolis, Luck has contributed a 103-of-166 line for 1147 yards and eight touchdowns, while Gore sits on 64 carries for 253 yards and two scores. WR T.Y. Hilton leads the Colts receiving corps with 336 yards and two touchdowns on 25 receptions. 

The Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last four games in October, and 2-5 ATS in their last seven games on field turf. Chicago is also 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall, and 2-9 ATS in their last 11 after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. 

As for the Colts, they’re 4-0 ATS in their last four games in Week 5, and 22-7 ATS versus a team with a losing record. Indianapolis is also 5-2 ATS in their last seven games on field turf, and 26-11-1 ATS in their last 38 home games. 

This game is a pretty tough call. Chicago is really hurting with injuries right now, but somehow the backups are playing better than the usual starters. As for the Colts, they’ve got something of a slow defense, and no one is consistently giving Luck much help on the offensive side of the ball. Indianapolis has scored at least 20 points in every game, however, and I don’t think Chicago will have enough juice on offense to keep up with them. I’ll take the Colts in this one.

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Indianapolis Colts -4.5

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