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Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans - 10/16/16 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Indianapolis Colts (2-3) at Houston Texans (3-2)

NFL Football: Sunday, October 16, 2016 at 8:30 pm (NRG Stadium)

The Line: Houston Texans -3 -- Over/Under: 48.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: NBC

The Indianapolis Colts head to NRG Stadium to take on the Houston Texans in a week 6 AFC South matchup on Sunday Night Football. 

The Indianapolis Colts improved to 2-3 with a 29-23 victory over the Chicago Bears in week 5. Andrew Luck completed 28 of his 39 pass attempts for 322 yards and a pair of touchdowns through the air. Frank Gore led the Colts ground attack, logging 75 yards on his 14 carries. T.Y. Hilton had a huge game for his team, catching 10 passes for 171 yards and a touchdown while tight end Dwayne Allen caught his 2nd touchdown of the season while hauling in 6 passes for 50 yards. Defensively, the Colts allowed a whopping 522 yards of total offense and the pass rush couldn't get to Bears QB Brian Hoyer, failing to register a sack. Indy did, however, force 3 fumbles courtesy of Rashaan Melvin, Darius Butler and Patrick Robinson, one of which was recovered by D'Qwell Jackson. 

Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans - 10/16/16 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Houston Texans dropped to 3-2 following a 31-13 defeat at the hands of the still-undefeated Minnesota Vikings. Brock Osweiler connected on only 19 of his 42 pass attempts for 184 yards and a touchdown that was cancelled out by an interception. Alfred Blue led a lacklustre Texans effort running the ball, logging a team-high 39 yards on 6 carries while Lamar Miller disappointed, putting up a mere 20 yards on 8 carries. Tight end C.J. Fiedorowicz led the Texans with 61 receiving yards on 4 receptions while DeAndre Hopkins hauled in 5 passes for 56 yards and was on the receiving end of Osweiler's lone touchdown on the day, Hopkins' 3rd score of the season. There was little to write home about for the Vikings defensively in week 5, as the 31 points against were the most allowed by Houston in any game this season. The only highlight for the Texans came in the form of a sack from Whitney Mercilus on Vikings QB Sam Bradford. 

Indianapolis is 17-6-1 ATS in their last 24 divisional matchups and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games while the over is 5-1 in their last 6 games overall. Houston is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 divisional matchups and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 vs. the AFC. Indianapolis is 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings between these two teams. 

Both have these teams have disappointed so far this season by their standards, and I'm not a huge fan of this game. However I do trust Andrew Luck more than I do Brock Osweiler so getting points with the better team sounds good to me as this Houston defense just looks lost without J.J. Watt. 

Give me Indy and the points.

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Indianapolis Colts +3

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