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Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills - 10/23/16 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Buffalo Bills (4-2) at Miami Dolphins (2-4)

NFL Football: Sunday, October 23, 2016 at 1:00 pm (Hard Rock Stadium)

The Line: Miami Dolphins +2.5 -- Over/Under: 44 See the Latest Odds

TV: CBS

The Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins square off Sunday afternoon in a AFC East NFL showdown at Hard Rock Stadium.

The Buffalo Bills look to build on their impressive four-game winning streak to remain in the AFC East division race. The Buffalo Bills have lost five of their last seven road games SU and those two wins have come this season. Tyrod Taylor is completing 62.4 percent of his passes for 1,076 yards, eight touchdowns and two interceptions. Taylor has two or more touchdown passes in six of his last 12 games. Robert Woods and Charles Clay have combined for 479 receiving yards and one touchdown while Marquise Goodwin has eight receptions. The Buffalo Bills ground game is averaging 166.3 yards per contest, and LeSean McCoy leads the way with 587 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, Buffalo is allowing 17.2 points and 345.2 yards per game. Zach Brown leads the Buffalo Bills with 67 tackles, Lorenzo Alexander has eight sacks and Stephon Gilmore has two interceptions.

Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills - 10/23/16 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Miami Dolphins look for back-to-back wins for just the third time since the 2014 NFL season. The Miami Dolphins have a chance to remain in the wide open AFC wild card with a victory heading into their bye week. Ryan Tannehill is completing 66 percent of his passes for 1,524 yards, six touchdowns and seven interceptions. Tannehill has just one touchdown pass in his last three games. Jarvis Landry and DeVante Parker have combined for 769 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Kenny Stills has 11 receptions. The Miami Dolphins ground game is averaging 97.3 yards per contest, and Jay Ajayi leads the way with 321 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Miami is allowing 22.3 points and 383.7 yards per game. Kiko Alonso leads the Miami Dolphins with 55 tackles, Ndamukong Suh has 2.5 sacks and Isa Abdul-Quddus has two interceptions.

The Bills are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC East and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Dolphins are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 vs. AFC East and 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games overall. The Bills are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings and the home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

I'm still not sure the Buffalo Bills are good, as I still don't trust Taylor as a quarterback and you can run on their defense. Also, two of the Bills wins came against the Rams and 49ers, two teams Buffalo should be able to beat. The Dolphins had their offensive line healthy for the first time all season and was the first team in 16 years to have a 200-yard rusher against the Pittsburgh Steelers. The offensive line was the main issue with the Dolphins and if that unit is going to play that way with any consistency, Miami is a team that could have sleeper potential down the stretch. The home team has also won six of the last eight meetings between the Bills and Dolphins.

Give me the Miami Dolphins and the free points at home in a game they should win outright. 

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Miami Dolphins +2.5

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