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Tennessee Titans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars - 10/27/16 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Jacksonville Jaguars (2-4) at Tennessee Titans (3-4)

NFL Football: Thursday, October 27, 2016 at 8:25 pm (Nissan Stadium)

The Line: Tennessee Titans -3.5 -- Over/Under: 44 See the Latest Odds

TV: NFL

The Jacksonville Jaguars and Tennessee Titans meet Thursday night in a week 8 AFC South NFL showdown at Nissan Stadium.

The Jacksonville Jaguars need a big road victory if they’re going to dig themselves out of a rough 2-4 hole. The Jacksonville Jaguars have lost 16 of their last 18 regular season road games. Blake Bortles is completing 59.7 percent of his passes for 1,567 yards, nine touchdowns and nine interceptions. Bortles has two or less touchdown passes in eight of his last nine games. Allen Hurns and Marqise Lee have combined for 682 receiving yards and one touchdown while Allen Robinson has 26 receptions. The Jacksonville Jaguars ground game is averaging 76.7 yards per contest, and T.J. Yeldon leads the way with 200 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Jacksonville is allowing 26.7 points and 325.2 yards per game. Paul Posluszny leads the Jacksonville Jaguars with 54 tackles, Yannick Ngakoue has four sacks and Tashaun Gipson has one interception.

Tennessee Titans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars - 10/27/16 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Tennessee Titans look for a big home win to get back to a .500 record and remain in the AFC wild card race. The Tennessee Titans have won just three home games since the start of the 2014 NFL season. Marcus Mariota is completing 61.5 percent of his passes for 1,604 yards, 12 touchdowns and six interceptions. Mariota has eight touchdown passes in his last three games. Delanie Walker and Rishard Matthews have combined for 649 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Tajae Sharpe has 22 receptions. The Tennessee Titans ground game is averaging 143.4 yards per contest, and DeMarco Murray leads the way with 633 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Tennessee is allowing 23 points and 338 yards per game. Avery Williamson leads the Tennessee Titans with 54 tackles, Brian Orakpo has seven sacks and Jason McCourty has two interceptions.

The Jaguars are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. AFC South. The Titans are 14-34-3 ATS in their last 51 home games and 12-36-3 ATS in their last 51 games overall. The Jaguars are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Tennessee and 8-1-2 ATS in their last 11 meetings overall.

Backing either one of these teams is risky business, but if forced to pick, you have to like the Tennessee Titans on their home field. The Titans have a defense that makes game changing plays and has effective playmakers on the offensive side of the ball. The Jags have had issues stopping the run and have allowed 27 or more points in four of their six games. And while the Titans have had their fair share of struggles at home, they have won the last two home games against Jacksonville. In fact, the home team has won eight of the last 10 meetings between the Titans and Jaguars. If there's one game the Titans should win to keep their wild card hopes alive, it's this one.

Give me Tennessee and the reasonable chalk. 

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Tennessee Titans -3.5

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