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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Atlanta Falcons - 11/3/16 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Atlanta Falcons (5-3) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-4)

NFL Football: Thursday, November 3, 2016 at 8:25 pm (Raymond James Stadium)

The Line: Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3.5 -- Over/Under: 51 See the Latest Odds

TV: NFL

The Atlanta Falcons and Tampa Bay Buccaneers square off Thursday night in a NFC South NFL game at Raymond James Stadium.

The Atlanta Falcons look for their fourth road win of the season to build on their NFC South division lead. The Atlanta Falcons have won four of their last five road games overall. Matt Ryan is completing 69.2 percent of his passes for 2,636 yards, 19 touchdowns and four interceptions. Ryan has two or more touchdown passes in six of his last eight games. Julio Jones and Mohamed Sanu have combined for 1,201 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Tevin Coleman has 19 receptions. The Atlanta Falcons ground game is averaging 111.5 yards per contest, and Devonta Freeman leads the way with 543 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Atlanta is allowing 18.9 points and 379.3 yards per game. Kemal Ishmael leads the Atlanta Falcons with 50 tackles, Vic Beasley Jr. has 7.5 sacks and Deion Jones has two interceptions.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Atlanta Falcons - 11/3/16 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers look for their first home victory of the season to get back to a .500 record. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have lost five straight home games overall. Jameis Winston is completing 58.7 percent of his passes for 1,776 yards, 14 touchdowns and nine interceptions. Winston has five touchdown passes in his last two games. Mike Evans and Adam Humphries have combined for 886 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Cameron Brate has 23 receptions. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers ground game is averaging 113.4 yards per contest, and Jacquizz Rodgers leads the way with 393 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Tampa Bay is allowing 27 points and 390 yards per game. Kwon Alexander leads the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with 66 tackles, Gerald McCoy has three sacks and Brent Grimes has one interception.

The Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Buccaneers are 18-43-1 ATS in their last 62 home games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games. The Falcons are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Tampa Bay and the favorite is 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings.

The Buccaneers beat Atlanta earlier this season and have actually won the last three games against the Falcons. I'm not ready to jump on the Falcons bandwagon and believe their strong start, as the offense struggles outside of Jones and the defense can give up big plays. The Buccaneers are better than their record indicates and they had chances to beat a decent Oakland Raiders team last week. On short rest and the humidity factor gives Tampa Bay the advantage at home. This is a tough spot for the Atlanta Falcons.

Give me the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the points here.

 

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3.5

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