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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 11/20/16 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-5) at Kansas City Chiefs (7-2)

NFL Football: Sunday, November 20, 2016 at 1:00 pm (Arrowhead Stadium)

The Line: Kansas City Chiefs -7.5 -- Over/Under: 44.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: FOX

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Kansas City Chiefs meet Sunday afternoon in a NFL contest at Arrowhead Stadium.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers hope for back-to-back victories that would get them back to a .500 record. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have split their last 10 road games. Jameis Winston is completing 60.2 percent of his passes for 2,349 yards, 19 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Winston has two or more touchdown passes in four straight games. Mike Evans and Adam Humphries have combined for 1,194 receiving yards and nine touchdowns while Cameron Brate has 35 receptions. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers ground game is averaging 104.9 yards per contest, and Jacquizz Rodgers leads the way with 393 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Tampa Bay is allowing 26.9 points and 386 yards per game. Kwon Alexander leads the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with 77 tackles, Gerald McCoy has 4.5 sacks and Brent Grimes has two interceptions.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 11/20/16 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Kansas City Chiefs look to build on their five-game winning streak and remain first in the AFC West. The Kansas City Chiefs have won 10 straight home games. Alex Smith is completing 66.1 percent of his passes for 1,816 yards, eight touchdowns and three interceptions. Smith has one or less touchdown passes in five of his last seven games. Travis Kelce and Jeremy Maclin have combined for 842 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Chris Conley has 27 receptions. The Kansas City Chiefs ground game is averaging 99.7 yards per contest, and Spencer Ware leads the way with 572 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Kansas City is allowing 18.7 points and 366.1 yards per game. Derrick Johnson leads the Kansas City Chiefs with 66 tackles, Dee Ford has 10 sacks and Marcus Peters has five interceptions.

The Buccaneers are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games overall. The Chiefs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in November. The home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

Say what you want about the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, they're 3-1 SU on the road this season. And while the Chiefs play their best football at home and haven't lost at Arrowhead in quite some time, a lot of Kansas City's games come down to the wire. In fact, three of the Chiefs last four games have been decided by six or less points. There's certainly better bets on the board, but if I was forced to pick this game, I'd take the Buccaneers and the free touchdown plus the hook. 

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7.5

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