St. Louis Rams Vs. Baltimore Ravens 9/25/11 Mitch’s Free NFL Pick Against the Spread Free Football Picks
The St. Louis Rams and the Baltimore Ravens meet for a week three NFL game in St. Louis.
The St. Louis Rams were hoping that this would be the year they officially were all the way back but unfortunately for them it looks more like a year where they need to take a step back in order to move forward in the future. Head Coach Steve Spagnuolo knows he is building something in St. Louis and knows he is accumulating a nice core of young talent but the mistakes and blown opportunities that are costing the Rams chances to win games don’t get any les frustrating. Last season’s number one overall pick Sam Bradford has completed just over 51 percent of his passes and has just one touchdown pass but he has 519 yards through the air and clearly has all of the tools to make all of the throws that have him looking like a future star. The Rams have spent years looking for a back up to Steven Jackson in the backfield and this year it looks like they found on in Cadiallac Williams and it wasn’t any too soon as Williams was called into action when Jackson went down early in week one but after missing last week’s game Jackson should be back here. Brandon Gibson, Mike Sims-Walker, and Greg Salas lead the Rams receiving corps but there have been far too many drops on key plays and it has already cost the Rams. James Laurinaitis leads St. Louis in tackles with 20 followed by Justin King with 16 and Craig Dahl with 14 while Chris Long leads the Rams in sacks with two Quintin Mikell has made his presence known coving a lot of ground. While the NFC West is wide open the Rams will need to start winning soon to have any kind of chance of competing.
After week one the Baltimore Ravens looked like a Super Bowl contender blowing out the Pittsburgh Steelers but after week two the Ravens look like a team with plenty of question marks. Joe Flacco looks to be a QB wanting to take his career to the next level and become one of the best in the game but for everything spectacular he does he seems to offset it with less than average weeks like the one he had at Tennessee last week where he completed less than 50 percent of his passes and threw more interceptions than touchdowns. After blowing away the Steelers Ray Rice ran for just 43 yards in week two though he had five catches for 53 yards and a touchdown. Anquan Boldin had three catches and Lee Evans had two as the Ravens offense as a unit simply bogged down. The Ravens defense is always tough and Ladarius Webb is the current leader in tackles with 21 followed by Ray Lewis with 15 and Ed Reed with 14 and Terrell Suggs leads the Ravens with three sacks. It’s clear the window is getting smaller for John Harbaugh’s team to go to the Super Bowl and in order to compete in the AFC North with the Steelers Baltimore will at least need to win the games they should win.
St. Louis is 8-3 against the spread in their last 11 games following a game which they didn’t cover, 1-4 against the spread in their last five games as an underdog, and 1-5 against the spread in their last six games overall. Baltimore is 5-1 against the spread following a game which they didn’t cover, 4-1 against the spread as a road favorite, and 14-6 against the spread against a team with a losing record.
We have two decent defenses here and while we have solid offenses, both of them feed of the run which lead to them using three downs to get the first down and long sustained drives to put points on the board which lead to games like this staying below the total. I also have a pick on who will cover the spread and I will post that in the premium area.