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Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Tampa Bay Lightning - 5/26/16 NHL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Tampa Bay Lightning (57-35-6) at Pittsburgh Penguins (59-30-10)

NHL Hockey: Thursday, May 26, 2016 at 8:00 pm (Consol Energy Centre)

The Line: Pittsburgh Penguins -190 / Tampa Bay Lightning +170 --- Over/Under: 5.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: NBCS

The Pittsburgh Penguins host the Tampa Bay Lightning in game seven with the winner heading to the Stanley Cup finals.

The Pittsburgh Penguins game up big in game six of the Stanley Cup semifinals with a surprisingly strong 5-2 victory in game number six at Tampa Bay to even the series at three games apiece. The Penguins have put more shots on goal then the Lightning in every contest but TB have come up clutch to offset the Pens shot advantage. 

Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Tampa Bay Lightning - 5/26/16 NHL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Lightning have also overcome some challenges when number one Ben Bishop was hurt in the series opener with Andrei Vasilevsky coming in to a tough spot and keeping his team alive and on the verge of the finals although he has been touched for three goals or more in each game of this series he started. Stamkos is also unlikely to be on the ice for the deciding game seven.

For Tampa Bay the trio of Tyler Johnson, Jonathan Drouin and Nikita Kucherov have been an offensive thorn in the sides of the opposition and will likely face Matt Murray between the pipes for the Penguins as Marc-Andre Fleury has not started a game since the end of March because of a second concussion although he played in game five and was charged with five goals.

Pittsburgh star Sydney Crosby will have several sets of eyes on him but that has done Tampa Bay no good as he has tallied the game winner no less then three times. The obvious key is who can make the big stops in net and who can grab a lead because a late lead in game seven means somebody is pulling their goalie early and there will be scoring opportunities. 

The over is 4-0-1 in Lightning last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. And the Lightning are 6-0 in their last 6 games following a home loss of 3 or more goals while the over is 4-0-1 in Lightning last 5 vs. Eastern Conference. The over is 6-0 in Penguins last 6 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game and  is 4-0-1 in Penguins last 5 vs. Eastern Conference while going 4-0-1 in Penguins last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 21-4-3 in the last 28 meetings and  is 12-3-2 in the last 17 meetings in Pittsburgh while the Lightning are 3-8 in the last 11 meetings in Pittsburgh. The way goals are being scored I don’t know if I could go under here…

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over 5.5

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