2014 FIFA World Cup: Italy vs Uruguay Pick, Odds, Prediction - 6/24/14
Uruguay (1-1) vs. Italy (1-1)
World Cup: Tuesday, June 24, 2014 at 12:00 pm (Brazil)
The Line: Italy +163 See the Latest Odds
Uruguay needs a victory in their final group stage game against Italy to advance while the 2006 champions can move on with a tie or a win.
Uruguay have been considered one of the favourites to not only advance to the knockout stage of this World Cup but some had them going as far as the final game but if they want to live up to that billing they need to beat Italy on Tuesday. Uruguay were stunned in their tournament opener as they were downed 3-1 by Costa Rica with Luis Suarez looking on but they quickly avenged that defeat with an inspiring effort from Suarez a week later against England as he netted both goals including the winner just minutes from time. Uruguay do have a solid side but to be honest I think they are a bit overrated and while nobody saw Costa Rica’s success coming I think Uruguay has been a bit of a let down and if not for Suarez’ late marker they could be going home already. Suarez will obviously be the focal point of the Italian defense and if the Azzurri can key in on the Liverpool man than I think we should see a score line favourite Italy.
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Italy played very well in their tournament opener against England as Mario Balotelli’s marker in the second half proved to be the difference maker but just like Uruguay did a week earlier they drastically underestimated Costa Rica and as such they put themselves in this position. Italy are in a little safer net than Uruguay as they have the edge on goal differential and can advance with a draw or a victory whereas Uruguay need the win in order to push through and represent Group D as runners up. The Italians play a very sound game and should have no trouble dominating the middle of the field but they’ll have to watch for the Uruguayan counter attack and if Suarez is sprung free which was obviously the difference maker against the English. When I look at these two teams I think Italy are the better side and with them only needing a draw here I think they’ll sit back defensively, contain Suarez and force them to beat them with their other players which I don’t see ending well. I was initially leaning towards this one staying at a stalemate as I think Italy will shut Suarez down but in the process of frustration I like an Italian counter to be the difference and put them into the round of 16.