Newcastle United vs Liverpool 11/01/2014 Premier League Preview, Odds and Prediction
Liverpool vs Newcastle United
Saturday 1st November 2014 12:45(GMT)
The Line: Newcastle United 11/4 Draw 11/4 Liverpool 21/20 See the Latest Odds
TV: BT Sport; NBC Sports
The early Premier League kickoff will see Liverpool travel North to take on Newcastle United in St James Park, the magpies are on a terrific run of form at the moment having won their last three including victories at White Hart Lane and the Ethiad. There is definitly light starting to appear at the end of the tunnel for Alan Pardew as the team emerges from a slump that could have cost him his job. Injuries to Papa Cisse and Tiote have been forgotten and Sissoko, Gouffran, Ameobi, Perez and Riviere all look capable of playing top class football again. There was a period there about two months ago when I personally though Newcastle had signed some bad pub footballers such was the lack of cohension and the shambolic defending. However things changes for the team when Cisse netted those two late goals against Hull to salvage a draw. Since that game its like a lightswitch went on internally and Newcastle have put in some terrific performances, most notably the wins at Tottenham and Manchester City.
While Newcastle come into this game on form Liverpool look completely out of sync. Mario Balotelli scored his second goal of the season on Wednesday night against Swansea but that is only the third goal scored by a striker in all competitions this year for the reds. The main threat for this Liverpool team is Raheem Sterling on the wing, his ridiculous pace causes every defence problems but without someone in the center to put the ball away having a pacey winger is pretty useless. In fact its the equivalent of a motorbike with an ashtray, useful, except its really not. Brendan Rodgers has failed to replace Suarez and with the los of Daniel Sturridge Liverpool really look lost. Now Mario Balotelli has talent and is blessed physically but his goalscoring prowess has never been overwhelmingly impressive. Trying to replace Suarez 30 goals with a 10-15 goals a season player is difficult to justify and maybe shows that Rodgers lack of experience has cost Liverpool a lost season but there is no doubt that Rodgers will learn from the experience and Liverpool will be better because of it.
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I have been looking around at different stats and the one that stands out in my mind is that there has been no 0-0 draws between Newcastle and Liverpool since 1974, that is a heck of a record and will likely continue tomorrow. With that said neither the both teams to score(4/7) or over 2.5 goals(4/6) market represent much value. At the moment I can not see why Liverpool would be favoured in this game, it's away from home against a bang in form Newcastle team with a passionate home crowd. Liverpool have been struggling defensively and they've been damn right awful up front. Add to that Liverpool have lost three of their last five away from home and I just think Newcastle on the handicap are a gift. I will be taking the magpies +1 and I will be having a little go at the moneyline as well as 11/4 is just too big for this Newcastle side at home.