2015 Copa America: Chile vs. Ecuador Pick, Odds, Prediction - 6/11/15
Ecuador (0-0) vs. Chile (0-0)
World Cup: Thursday, June 11, 2015 at 7:00 pm (Chile)
The Line: Chile -204 / Ecuador +520 -- Over/Under: 2.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: beIN SPORTS, beIN SPORTS Espa?ol and fuboTV
Chile and Ecuador kick off the 2015 Copa America Thursday night at the Estadio Nacional in Santiago.
Chile enters this tournament as the favorite to win group A and will be the crowd favorite with it taking place on its home soil. Chile has a long history of success when hosting, as it has four top three finishes. Offensively, Chile will rely on its explosive duo of Alexis Sánchez and Eduardo Vargas, who have combined for more than 120 caps and 44 national goals. However, the real reason to like Chile in this tournament is because of the overall defense and goalie Claudio Bravo. Bravo is no stranger to success and already has titles with Barcelona and Copa del Rey this year. Chile may have the best overall goaltender in this tournament, and he gives his country a chance against anybody in the world. If I had to pick a concern with Chile, it would be a lack of overall scoring depth on the offensive end.
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Ecuador heads into this tournament with pretty much nothing to lose, as expectations aren’t extremely high. Ecuador doesn’t have great Copa America success and is probably the overall least talented team in its group. Ecuador is a team that relies heavily on its defense led by Juan Carlos Paredes and Frickson Erazo. Goalie Alexander Domínguez is also no slouch, as he has a history of stringing numerous matches without allowing a goal. Offense is a concern with Ecuador, as there’s nobody on this team that can take over as the go-to player. However, Enner Valencia and Fidel Martinez are both young guys who can put pressure on a defense when they have space.
I pretty much never pick against the host country in the opening match, as the energy is insane and usually brings the best out of the players. Chile is going to hang tough with its quality defense, but it doesn’t have enough offense to make a difference and possibly steal an upset.
This is going to be a low-scoring game, which is why I’m taking the under. Chile should also get the outright victory, but the value and the safer bet seems to be with the under.