Serena Williams vs. Kaia Kanepi 2014 US Open Pick, Odds, Prediction
2014 US Open: Monday, September 1, 2014 (New York)
The Line: See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN, CBS, Tennis
Serena Williams and Kaia Kanepi will meet in the fourth round of the 2014 US Open.
Kaia Kanepi played her cleanest game of the tournament when pulling off an impressive upset over Carla Suarez Navarro in the third round. Kanepi needed only 18 games to pull off the victory in straight sets, her first match of the tournament that didn’t go the distance. In the win, Kanepi won 90 percent of her first serve points, 60 percent of her break points and hit 23 winners. While the win was probably Kanepi’s biggest of the season, she’ll need to clean up her seven double faults if she hopes to have any shot of defeating Serena. Kaia Kanepi has been on quite a roll lately, winning 10 of her last 12 matches overall. The last time Kanepi advanced to a major quarterfinal was the 2013 Wimbledon.
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Serena Williams continues to do what she does at the US Open, as she’s needed just 47 games to win her first three matches. Serena’s most recent victory came against Varvara Lepchenko, a match that needed just 18 games to be decided. In the victory, Serena won 70 percent of her net points, hit 14 winners and was broken just once. While Serena continues to cruise, you have to be worried about her average first serve speed of 102 mph and the fact she had 21 unforced errors in her most recent match. Serena is lacking the sheer power that she’s had in the past and it may cause issues the further she gets in this tournament. Serena has been eliminated in the fourth round in two of her last five major appearances.
These two have met three times in the past and Serena Williams has won all three meetings. In fact, Kaia Kanepi has yet to win a set against Serena. However, the last time these two met on the tennis court was in 2009 at Beijing.
Overall, while I am a little concerned about Serena's workload and the fact she doesn’t have that overwhelming power in her game, she should have no problem here and pull off another quick victory.