Andy Murray vs. Novak Djokovic 2014 US Open Pick, Odds, Prediction
2014 US Open: Wednesday, September 3, 2014 (New York)
The Line: See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN, CBS, Tennis
Andy Murray and Novak Djokovic will meet in the quarterfinals of the 2014 US Open.
Andy Murray had his first impressive win of the tournament with a three set match over Jo-Wilfried Tsonga that took just 34 games to end. In the victory, Murray had 11 aces, won 90 percent of his net points and was broken just twice throughout the match. For the first time in the tournament, Andy Murray looked to be his old self and showed no signs of past injuries. Murray’s insane net point percentage shows that he’s moving well and is making all of his shots comfortably. Murray has now won eight of his last 10 matches and one of those two losses came against a red hot Roger Federer. Unfortunately for Andy Murray, three of his last four major appearances have resulted in losses in the quarterfinals, including two this season.
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Novak Djokovic has yet to lose a set in this tournament and seems to be the overwhelming favorite to win the title at this point. Djokovic’s most recent win came against Philipp Kohlschreiber, and he only lost 10 games in that quick match. In the victory, Djokovic hit 34 winners, won 78 percent of his first serve points and averaged a first serve speed of 113 mph. Novak Djokovic is moving well and getting pretty much any shot he likes throughout his first four matches, and it’ll take an incredible performance to beat him if he continues to play at this level. Djokovic has only lost once in the quarterfinals of a major in his last 17 appearances, and that was at this year’s Australian Open.
These two have played each other 20 times in the past, and Novak Djokovic leads the series, 12-8. Djokovic has won four of the last five meetings against Andy Murray, which includes this year’s match at the Miami Masters. However, Murray has had success against Djokovic in majors, beating him in the 2012 US Open and the 2013 Australian Open.
This should be the best match of the US Open yet, but I can’t pick against Djokovic with the way he’s playing. Djo has played far less in this tournament, so the fatigue advantage is on his side, and he’s making far more of his shots than Murray. Djokovic has been automatic in majors for the last several years and there’s no point to fade him now.