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Novak Djokovic vs. Andy Murray 2014 China Open Pick, Odds, Prediction

Andy Murray vs. Novak Djokovic

October 4, 2014

The Line: See the Latest Odds

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Novak Djokovic and Andy Murray will meet in the 2014 China Open semifinals.

Novak Djokovic has yet to drop a set in this tournament, cruising through his first three matches and hasn’t played more than 21 games in a single match. Djokovic hasn’t had his best season outside of majors this season, as he was bounced early in the Cincinnati Masters, Canadian Masters and didn’t last long in his doubles match with Filip Krajinovic. However, as any tennis fan knows, it’s never wise to count out Djokovic in any tournament due to him being the best player on the court when he’s motivated and clicking on all cylinders. Djokovic’s most recent win came over Grigor Dimitrov, and that may be the spark he needed to get out of this slump and win his first title since this year’s Wimbledon.

Novak Djokovic vs. Andy Murray 2014 China Open Pick, Odds, Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

Andy Murray has not lost a match since losing to Novak Djokovic in the US Open. Still trying to completely recover from his previous back injury, Murray has been impressive in this tournament, which included a recent two set victory over Marin Cilic. Since struggling against Jerzy Janowicz in the first round, Murray has played just 31 games in his last two matches and is starting to show signs of the dominant player he once was. Only three of Murray’s seven matches since the US Open have gone the distance, and he’s cleaned his game up a bit and is hitting far more winners than in the past. Murray hit 17 winners in his match against Cilic and has to feel somewhat confident heading into this match that will truly prove to the tennis world if he’s back or not.

Novak Djokovic has beaten Andy Murray in five of the last six meetings, including both meetings this year. Murray’s last win over Djokovic was in the 2013 Wimbledon, and he hasn’t won again since the 2012 US Open. Murray has won at least one set in five of the last seven matches against Djokovic.

It’s no question this is a bigger matchup for Murray, who is still trying to prove he’s an elite tennis player even after the injury. Djokovic has owned Murray for the most part, but the odds are forcing me to take Murray in an upset. It’s not like Djokovic has been terrific outside of majors, and he’s shown recently that he can be beaten. Give me Andy Murray for the upset in what should be a solid match for all tennis fans.

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