Marin Cilic vs. David Ferrer 2015 French Open, Pick, Odds, Prediction
June 1, 2015
The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
Marin Cilic and David Ferrer meet Monday in the fourth round of the 2015 French Open.
Marin Cilic has yet to drop a set in this tournament, which includes his most recent victory over Leonardo Mayer. Cilic has played 27 or less games in all three matches and has a combined 75 winners in his last two matches. Cilic has won 76 or higher percent of his first serve points and has a combined 65 unforced errors in this tournament. Cilic has just one double fault and 44 aces. Cilic is playing flawless tennis right now and is a real threat if he can continue to limit his mistakes. The one improvement Cilic could make is getting his first serve in play at a higher percentage. Cilic hasn’t been eliminated in the fourth round of a major since the 2012 Wimbledon. Cilic has never reached the quarterfinal of the French Open.
USA TODAY Sports
David Ferrer is coming off a five set victory over Simone Bolelli. Ferrer has played 11 sets overall and 65 games in his last two matches. Ferrer has won 72 or higher percent of his first serve points and has 13 serves overall. Ferrer has 53 winners in his last two matches and has won at least 51 percent of his second serve points. Fatigue shouldn’t be an issue with Ferrer considering his five set match was rather quick due to four of the sets being decided by nine or less games. The one concern with Ferrer is that he has five double faults in each of his first three matches. Ferrer hasn’t made the quarterfinal of a major since last year’s French Open. Ferrer has has made at least the quarterfinal of the French Open three straight years.
These two have played five times in the past, and Ferrer has won three of those meetings. The two have split their only two matches on clay, and Cilic won their most recent meeting which took place in the 2011 Rome Masters. Cilic also won their only meeting in a major, which was the 2009 Australian Open.
I really like Ferrer in majors, as he has the stamina to last long matches and really put pressure on the more talented opponent. However, Cilic is simply playing terrific tennis and has shown little to no weakness so far. I look for Cilic to advance to the quarterfinal.