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Andy Murray vs. Rafael Nadal 2016 Madrid Open Semifinal Pick, Odds, Prediction

Rafael Nadal vs. Andy Murray

March 7, 2016

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Andy Murray and Rafael Nadal meet Saturday afternoon in the 2016 semifinals of the Mutua Madrid Open.

Andy Murray is coming off a straight sets win over Tomas Berdych and has dropped just one set this tournament. Murray looks like he’s back to elite form as he’s won 10 of his last 13 singles matches and finds himself ranked No. 2 in the world. Murray is doing a fine job of limiting his unforced errors and continues to show that fight as he’s come back many times recently after dropping the first set. Murray should head into the French Open in great form, as he looks for his first final appearance in France. Murray has reached the final of the Madrid Open just once, which was last year when he won the tournament.

Andy Murray vs. Rafael Nadal 2016 Madrid Open Semifinal Pick, Odds, Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

Rafael Nadal is coming off a three set win over Joao Sousa and has dropped just one set in his last eight matches. Given his current performances, it may be fair to say Nadal is back after so many people started to write him off towards the end of last year due to constant struggles. Nadal is no longer making so many errors and is back to holding serve far more consistently. With a chance to make already his fourth final appearance of the 2016 season, Nadal is showing he’s still one of the top players in the world and shouldn’t be pushed to the side just yet. Nadal has made the finals in Madrid in eight of the last nine years, including three straight.

These two have played 23 times, and Nadal has won 17 of those matches. Nadal has beaten Murray in four of the last five matches, including the most recent in this year’s Monte Carlo Masters. The last time Murray beat Nadal was in the 2015 Madrid Masters.

Nadal appears to be back to his normal form, which gives him the advantage here considering he’s owned Murray throughout his career. Murray is playing well and should put up a fight, but when both players are at the top of their game, Nadal is simply the better guy.

Look for Nadal to advance to yet another Madrid Final.

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Rafael Nadal

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