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Leo Santa Cruz vs. Carl Frampton Boxing Preview, Pick, Odds, Prediction - 1/28/17

Frampton vs. Santa Cruz

Boxing: Saturday, January 28, 2017 (MGM Grand Garden Arena)

The Line: Santa Cruz +125 / Frampton -145 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: Showtime

Leo Santa Cruz and Carl Frampton fight Saturday at the MGM Grand Garden Arena for the WBA Super World featherweight title.

Leo Santa Cruz enters this fight with a 32-1-1 record that includes 18 knockouts. Santa Cruz has won 10 of his last 11 fights and is coming off a July loss to Frampton. Santa Cruz is fresh off the first loss of his career in which he landed 25 percent of his punches and lost by majority decision. It’s going to be interesting to see how Santa Cruz rebounds from such a performance and the fact he lost his belt to this very opponent. At 28 years old, Santa Cruz has some of the quicker hands in the sport and is a volume puncher who stays busy every round. In the last bout, Santa Cruz threw over 1,000 punches. Santa Cruz also has some pop behind his punches, producing knockouts in five of his last 10 victories. This will be Santa Cruz’s eighth fight in Las Vegas.

Leo Santa Cruz vs. Carl Frampton Boxing Preview, Pick, Odds, Prediction - 1/28/17


Carl Frampton enters this fight with a 23-0 record that includes 14 knockouts. This will be Frampton’s fifth fight since 2015, and he’s coming off a July win over Santa Cruz. Frampton is coming off arguably his biggest win yet and will be defending his featherweight title for the first time. In the first bout against Santa Cruz, Frampton landed 36 percent of over 600 punches thrown. Frampton is starting to get his feet wet in the United States and showing Americans what the UK has seen since he turned pro in 2009. Frampton is a great athletic boxer with fast hands and has won five of his last nine fights by knockout. However, Frampton has won his last three fights by decision. This will be Frampton’s first fight in Las Vegas.

Despite one judge ruling a draw, the first fight between these two wasn’t that close, as Frampton landed more than 10 percent more punches and was far more efficient in the victory. It’s hard to see that first fight and think this one is going to be any different. Frampton is more patient than Santa Cruz and was able to make him miss a ton in the first contest. If that happens again, you have to like Frampton getting another victory over El Terremoto and holding onto his belt.

I’m siding with Frampton in this fight.

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