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Jezreel Corrales vs. Alberto Machado Boxing Preview, Pick, Odds, Prediction - 10/21/17

Machado vs. Corrales

Boxing: Saturday, October 21, 2017 (Turning Stone Resort & Casino)

The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: HBO

Jezreel Corrales and Alberto Machado fight Saturday at the Turning Stone Resort & Casino for the WBA Super World Super Featherweight Title.

Jezreel Corrales enters this fight with a 22-1 record that includes eight knockouts. Corrales has won his last nine fights, and he’s coming off a July win over Robinson Castellanos. Corrales hasn’t lost since his 2009 bout with Jhonatan Arenas and is fighting for the fourth time since 2016. Corrales is a 26-year-old southpaw who stands at 5’6” and has a 67 inch reach. Corrales is a rangy boxer who has a unique stance and is able to duck and dodge as he’s throwing punches. It’s really hard to get comfortable against a boxer like Corrales, and he has extremely quick hands that he’ll put to good use once his opponent rushes in. Corrales is very solid defensively with his constant movement and is a countering machine, especially to slower fighters. Corrales isn’t known for his punching power, but seven of his last eight fights have ended in some sort of stoppage. This will be Corrales’ second fight in the United States.  

Jezreel Corrales vs. Alberto Machado Boxing Preview, Pick, Odds, Prediction - 10/21/17

USA TODAY Sports

Alberto Machado enters this fight with a 18-0 record that includes 15 knockouts. This will be Machado’s third fight this year, and he’s coming off a August win over Carlos Morales. Machado is fighting for the seventh time since 2016, and this would be the biggest win of his career yet. Machado is a 27-year-old southpaw who stands at 5’10” and has a 72 inch reach. Machado is a big super featherweight who packs some serious one-punch knockout potential, as he showed against Orlando Rizo. Machado has won 12 of his last 13 fights by knockout and has very quick hands that make him dangerous on counters. You don’t see the combination of size and power in this division often that Machado has, and it’s why he’s been climbing the charts rather quickly the past couple of years. Once Machado gets his timing down and gets comfortable on the offensive end, it’s pretty much all over for his opponent. This will be Machado’s fifth fight in the United States.

HBO finally gives us a wonderful fight after Showtime has been stealing all the headlines all year long. We have the awkwardness and the speed of Corrales while Machado brings the power and physicality. Machado has a huge size advantage here and could wear down Corrales in the clinch and maybe steal a power shot when it’s least expected. There’s reasons to consider Machado in this fight. However, Corrales is the more polished and battle tested fighter between the two and his head movement along with his distance is going to make it tough for Machado to square up those haymakers. Corrales is too slippery and smart to play into Machado’s hands.

Great fight, but I’m siding with Corrales to provide Machado’s first loss.

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