Amir Khan vs. Samuel Vargas Boxing Preview, Pick, Odds, Prediction - 9/8/18
Photo by Jake Roth-USA TODAY Sports
Samuel Vargas vs. Amir Khan
Boxing: Saturday September 8, 2018 (Arena Birmingham)
The Line: -- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds
Amir Khan and Samuel Vargas fight Saturday at the Arena Birmingham.
Amir Khan enters this fight with a 32-4 record that includes 20 knockouts. Khan has won eight of his last 11 fights and is coming off a April win over Phil Lo Greco. Khan is coming off a joke of a fight in which he produced a first round knockout in a bout that was over before it ever really started. The good news is Khan showed he still has something left in the tank, the bad news is he has just one round under his belt in more than two years since his loss to Canelo Alvarez. Everyone knows what Khan is capable of when in great form, but he’s been shaky recently against the better fighters on his resume and that questionable chin always haunts him. Khan is 31 years old, stands at 5’8”, has a 71 inch reach and an orthodox stance. Khan is known for his hand speed and footwork, which tends to makeup for his lack of devastating power, as he is capable of breaking his opponent down round by round. Khan isn’t scaring many quality boxers with his pop, but his quick hands and straight punches allow him to dictate the fight and keep his opponent on his toes. Khan is a great athlete who moves well and lands with tremendous accuracy. The downside to it all is King Khan is always vulnerable when getting into a brawl, as it takes just one clean shot to put him down. Khan has fought most of his career in the UK, his birthplace.
Samuel Vargas enters this fight with a 29-3-2 record that includes 14 knockouts. Vargas has won six of his last eight fights and is coming off a June draw against Mauro Maximiliano Godoy. Vargas is coming off a tight draw that could have gone either way and will fight for the sixth time since last year. Vargas has been one of the busy fighters over the years and has a good chance at one of the top wins of his career. Vargas has obviously been in the ring with guys such as Errol Spence Jr. and Danny Garcia, but the Colombian doesn’t quite have that marquee victory on his resume to put him over the top in the rankings. Vargas is 29 years old, stands at 5’9”, has a 72 inch reach and an orthodox stance. Vargas has some pop behind his punches and does a nice job of lining up his target and throwing heavy shots when he has the chance. Vargas has just one knockout in his last eight fights, but his pop can’t go unnoticed, especially when he’s looking to be the aggressor and willing to let his hands go. The potential has always been there with Vargas, but at some point you have to question if he’s truly capable of winning on the big stage and taking that next step in the welterweight division. This will be Vargas’ first career fight in England.
Khan is always a risky pick due to his questionable chin, as we’ve seen the guy get knocked down multiple times even in victories, and that’s before being put to sleep. A quick victory over a subpar Canadian boxer also doesn’t change much or remove that brutal loss to Cinnamon from anyones mind. Vargas can certainly win this fight if he lands a clean shot and goes for broke. With that said, Khan is the better boxer here, is at home and should be able to breakdown Vargas once the fighters get comfortable. Vargas hasn’t shown much punching power in his last few fights and has a history of folding when he steps up in competition. It’s hard seeing that change on enemy soil.
Kahn wins this fight to open the door for a possible mega fight.