Josh Warrington vs. Carl Frampton Boxing Preview, Pick, Odds, Prediction - 12/22/18
Carl Frampton vs. Josh Warrington
Boxing: Saturday December 22, 2018 (Manchester Arena)
The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
Josh Warrington and Carl Frampton fight Saturday at the Manchester Arena for the IBF featherweight title.
Josh Warrington enters this fight with a 27-0 record that includes six knockouts. This will be Warrington’s fourth fight since 2017, and he’s coming off a May win over Lee Selby. Warrington earned the biggest victory of his career in impressive fashion and now gets to defend his new belt in hopes of putting himself in the best within the division conversation. Warrington simply outworked Selby by suffocating him with pressure and throwing relentless shots for 12 rounds. Warrington is a 28-year-old who stands at 5’7” and has an orthodox stance. Warrington has very quick hands, is solid defensively and has great head movement that allow him to get into these combination flurries without putting himself in much danger. Warrington lacks serious punching power, which is why he has a knockout percentage of just 22 percent, but he’s rarely going to be outworked in the ring. Warrington’s stamina and ability to constantly rush his opponent makes him an exciting and effective fighter, who is also frustrating for whoever he faces. Warrington is prepared for a 12 round brawl and has been on the winning side of all 27 of those bad boys. Warrington has fought most of his career in the UK, his birthplace.
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Carl Frampton enters this fight with a 26-1 record that includes 15 knockouts. Frampton has won five of his last six fights, and he’s coming off a August win over Luke Jackson. Frampton managed to box wonderful from the inside in his victory, got stronger as the fight dragged out and landed clean body shots to eventually produce a ninth round knockout. Frampton now looks for his fourth straight victory while adding to his impressive resume by taking another belt. Frampton is a 31-year-old who stands at 5’5”, has a 62 inch reach and has an orthodox stance. Frampton is a great athletic boxer with fast hands and some serious pop, as he has one-punch knockout potential. Frampton likes to box on the inside where he can land powerful punches to the body and wear down his opponent. Frampton has just two knockouts in his last seven victories, but it’s certainly not due to a lack of effort, as he works hard and lands some serious shots that eventually breakdown fighters over time. A victory here would give Frampton the much deserved attention he deserves and put him in the conversation for one of the top boxers in the UK. This will be Frampton’s 11th career fight in England.
This is going to be a hell of a fight between two underrated, busy fighters who aren’t going to shortchange the audience. Warrington is worth the look as an underdog given the size advantage and his work rate. As usual, Warrington is going to be the aggressor, throw a ton of punches and force Frampton to either respond or lose on the scorecard. Frampton wants a slowed down fight where he can pick his spots and wear guys down. The difference is going to be Frampton’s power, as those body shots will take its toll on Warrington and that’s going to slow him down in the later rounds. That’s when Frampton can takeover and possibly produce a knockout.
I like Warrington and think he’s a live dog, but the power difference between these two gives a considerable edge to Frampton. Warrington leaves the ring with his first career loss.