Keith Thurman vs. Josesito Lopez Boxing Preview, Pick, Odds, Prediction - 1/26/19
Photo by Jake Roth-USA TODAY Sports
Josesito Lopez vs. Keith Thurman
Boxing: Saturday January 26, 2019 (Barclays Center)
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Keith Thurman and Josesito Lopez fight Saturday at the Barclays Center for the World Boxing Association Super World Welterweight Title.
Keith Thurman enters this fight with a 28-0 record that includes 22 knockouts. This will be Thurman’s second fight since 2017, and he’s coming off a March (2017) win over Danny Garcia. Thurman is finally back in the ring after nearly two years off, as he had surgery on his elbow after the Garcia fight and battled another injury to his left hand. Thurman was rewarded the split decision victory in his last bout, even though Garcia landed a higher percentage of his punches. It’s going to be interesting to see how Thurman adjusts to the time out of the ring, as this is somebody who was usually in the ring twice a year. Thurman is 30 years old, stands at 5’7”, has a 69 inch reach and an orthodox stance. Thurman has established himself as a great technical boxer who can adjust to his opponents, and he has great footwork to go along with solid hand speed. Thurman has great punching power despite four of his last five bouts ending in decision, and has become more of a complete boxer with the ability to breakdown his opponent. The one area of concern with Thurman is that he is a bit susceptible to counters. This will be Thurman’s fourth career fight in New York.
Josesito Lopez enters this fight with a 36-7 record that includes 19 knockouts. Lopez has won six of his last seven fights and is coming off a April win over Miguel Cruz. Lopez gets another shot at stardom and is riding a three-fight winning streak entering this bout. Lopez is 34 years old, stands at 5’9”, has a 69 inch reach and an orthodox stance. Lopez is obviously no stranger to big fights, as he’s been in the ring with Andre Berto, Saul Alvarez, Victor Ortiz and Marcos Maidana, so he won’t be intimated with everything that comes to fighting a big name. The problem is Lopez has been on the losing end in most of those bouts and has been knocked out in three of his seven losses. Lopez does a fine job of boxing on the inside and can put combinations together when he’s not forced to box from other ranges. Lopez doesn’t have much punching power, so it’s important he’s the aggressor in this bout and tries to outwork his opponent to win on the cards. This will be Lopez’s first career fight in New York.
This isn’t the easiest bounce back fight for Thurman in hopes of shaking off the rust, as Lopez has been in the ring with some big boys and won’t be scared of the moment. But in terms of pure boxing skill sets, there’s nothing Lopez can do with Thurman. He’s better on both offense and defense, and there’s even less worry with the lack of power from Lopez. Thurman can be patient and get some rounds under his belt, or he can walk down Lopez and go for the kill. Thurman should have little trouble winning this bout.
I’ll take Thurman in a knockout in the sixth round.