Miguel Marriaga vs. Shakur Stevenson Boxing Pick, Odds, Prediction - 3/14/20
Photo by Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports
Shakur Stevenson vs. Miguel Marriaga
Saturday, March 14, 2020 at 10:00 PM (The Theater at Madison Square Garden)
Miguel Marriaga + 2875 / Shakur Stevenson -4625
Miguel Marriaga and Shakur Stevenson fight Saturday at The Theater at Madison Square Garden for the WBO featherweight title.
Miguel Marriaga enters this fight with a 29-3 record that includes 25 knockouts. Marriaga has won his last four fights, and he’s coming off a December win over Alfredo Mejia Vargas. Marriaga hopes to get the biggest victory of his career on his resume and avoid back-to-back losses for the first time. Marriaga is a 33-year-old Colombian who stands at 5’8”, has a 67-inch reach and an orthodox stance. Marriaga hasn’t lost since his 2017 fight against Vasiliy Lomachenko, and he has a chance here at possibly the biggest win of his career. Marriaga is an aggressive power puncher who comes forward and throws with a purpose, as each of his last six victories have ended in stoppage. Marriaga does a fine job of working the head and body, and he has a viscous uppercut that he mixes in well when throwing his combinations. Marriaga has also shown a tough chin considering he went the distance with Valdez as a big underdog and survived 12 rounds with Nicholas Walters. Marriaga has only been stopped once despite three career losses. This will be Marriaga’s first career fight in New York.
Shakur Stevenson enters this fight with a 13-0 record that includes seven knockouts. This will be Stevenson’s fifth fight since 2019, and he’s coming off an October win over Joet Gonzalez. Stevenson is a decorated olympian who is just starting to improve his pro resume and this will be his first title defense of his new belt. Stevenson is a 22-year-old southpaw who stands at 5’8” and has a 68-inch reach. Stevenson is a technically sound boxer with good movement, impressive defense and doesn’t put himself in harms way. You can see Stevenson work his way through a fight mentally and pick his spots smart rather than be super aggressive and end up in a brawl. Stevenson doesn’t have the most punching power in the world, but he does have a strong right hook that he likes to throw in combinations and six of his knockouts have taken place in the third round or earlier. There’s no doubt that Stevenson is a fighter worth keeping an eye on, as his resume is already decent for his young age. This will be Stevenson’s fifth career fight in New York.
Marriaga is a live underdog in this fight given the experience edge and the fact he probably has the more punching power at this stage. Marriaga is a champion at featherweight and junior lightweight, and he’s ben in the ring with some respectable names. You can take a shot in the dark with Marriaga and it wouldn’t be the worst bet in the world. With that said, Stevenson is the better pure boxer with sharper defensive skills and crisp combinations that expose an aggressive opponent. Stevenson doesn’t have the power yet to finish his opponents, but he’s more than capable of providing a clean 12 rounds and doing what it takes to close the deal.
Stevenson should win this fight on points, so I’ll take him to win by unanimous decision.