Ohio State Buckeyes vs. San Diego State Aztecs Free Pick 9/7/13
San Diego State Aztecs (0-1) at Ohio State Buckeyes (1-0)
NCAAF Football: Saturday, September 7, 2013 at 3:30 pm (Ohio Stadium)
The Line: Ohio State Buckeyes -28.5 -- Over/Under: 60 See the Latest Odds
TV: ABC HD
The San Diego State Aztecs face an uphill battle on Saturday as the Aztecs face the Buckeyes at Ohio Stadium.
The Ohio State Buckeyes easily defeated the Buffalo Bulls on Saturday, although it wasn’t as easy as I thought. The Buckeyes played well offensively, putting up 40 points and 460 yards of offense against the Bulls, but, just like last season, early struggles and miscues forced this game to be more interesting than it should have been. Ohio State allowed more than 258 yards of offense to the Bulls and while that isn’t exactly a large number, it’s bigger than it should have been, which should be worrisome for Buckeye fans. Offensively, this team will be fine with Miller under center and Meyer calling the shots. Running Back Jordan Hall also had an outstanding day for the Buckeyes, rushing for 159 yards and two scores on 21 attempts. I’m still not sure that Luke Fickell is the right call as defensive coordinator in Columbus. You can be sure that Fickell will put strong emphasis on the basics for the defense this week, as the Buckeyes missed far too many tackles against the Bulls on Saturday. Meyer appreciates Fickell’s ties to the University, but if the Buckeyes continue to play sloppy defensively, a change may be in the air.
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The San Diego State Aztecs fell to Eastern Illinois in their opener 40-19. The Aztecs Junior signal caller had 63 attempts on the day against the Panthers, throwing for 318 yards. The yardage is the good part. Dingwell also turned the ball over four times to the Panthers, and if you’re reading this I don’t have to tell you that if you have the talent of SDSU, you can’t afford four turnovers to anyone. The Aztecs combined for 122 yards on the ground, but this is a passing offense. If Dingwell can’t show more ball security on Saturday against the Buckeyes, things will get very ugly, very quickly.
There hasn’t been a ton of movement on this one, but the Aztecs have gained some ground slightly over the Buckeyes, as the line has gone from OSU -29 to -28.5 at a cost of -110.
I think both teams are better than they showed us this past Saturday. The Aztecs have a solid offense, and if it weren't for turnovers and miscues, they would likely have taken care of business against the Panthers. The Buckeyes were also hurt by mistakes, turnovers and miscues, but their shear talent allowed them to still roll over the Buffalo Bulls.
The Aztecs will be able to move the ball against the Buckeyes, but if SDSU has any shot here, the Aztecs must turn those yards into points. The Aztecs defense is my big concern here. SDSU allowed 533 yards of offense to the Panthers, and if they move the ball that easily on this team, just think what the Buckeyes can do. Personally I don’t love this one, as I don’t think we’ve seen an accurate representation of either team, but as the line sits right now, I have to take the Aztecs. The Buckeyes have to travel to Cal next weekend and although Meyer would never admit it, I’m sure that is in the back of their minds.
The Buckeyes cruise on Saturday, but I just can’t give up this many points to a solid offense like SDSU has, as there is always the fear of a backdoor cover with the Buckeye reserves on the field.