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Oklahoma Sooners vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane Free Pick 9/14/13

Tulsa Golden Hurricane (1-1) at Oklahoma Sooners (2-0)

NCAAF Football: Saturday, September 14, 2013 at 12:00 pm (Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium)

The Line: Oklahoma Sooners -24 -- Over/Under: 49.5 See the Latest Odds


Storyline: Last week, freshman Trevor Knight put a definitive stamp on the quarterback questions in Norman. This week, his shoddy play against West Virginia put those questions back on the table. The Oklahoma defense came to the rescue, however, and bailed out a sputtering offense with some key stops late for a 16-7 victory. For Tulsa, a balanced outing and game-winning field goal against Colorado State as time ran out gave them a 30-27 win, upping its record to 1-1 on the year.

The Breakdown: Last season, West Virginia and Oklahoma produced over 1,400 yards in a 50-49 shootout win for the Sooners in a game that defined Big 12 offense. This year’s version was quite the opposite and Trevor Knight’s deficiencies in the passing game were glaring. Knight finished 10-of-20 for 119 yards, 1 touchdown with two interceptions, both in the third quarter and was eventually yanked in favor of Soph. Blake Bell. The Sooners were also bailed out by a career-high rushing performance from Sr. RB Brennan Clay, who carried 22 times for 170 yards. Defensively, OU made some critical stops, including one on 4th down late in the game that all but sealed the victory. But were it not for a couple fortuitous bounces of the ball­­­--a West Virginia fumble in the red zone and a dropped touchdown pass, both in the third quarter--this game probably would have had the opposite outcome.

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Oklahoma Sooners vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane Free Pick 9/14/13

Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports

The Golden Hurricane needed every second on the clock to come from behind against Colorado State, scoring thirteen unanswered points behind the solid play of Sr. QB Cody Green, who connected on 21-of-39 passing for 212 yards and 3 touchdowns. Tulsa tied the score at the 7:00 mark with a 15-yard TD pass to Soph. WR Derek Patterson, then drove 57 yards in five plays to set up the winning field goal by Sr. K Carl Salazar as time expired.  Tulsa’s balance on offense extended to Sr. RB Trey Watts, who rushed for 152 yards on 22 attempts. On the defensive side, the Golden Hurricane was stout, holding Colorado State to 286 total yards, just 108 through the air, and 4-of-17  third down conversions.

As far as betting trends, Oklahoma is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games, 7-1 SU in its last 8 games, 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home, 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home, and the total has gone under in 4 of Oklahoma’s last 5 games. Tulsa is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games and the total has gone under in 7 of Tulsa’s last 10 games.

Rick’s Pick: The line in this one is currently set at -24 for the Sooners and that’s a lot to cover, particularly for an offense that’s underwhelmed against mediocre defense. Throw in a Tulsa offense that appears to be finding its form and the over looks like the better play.

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