Purdue Boilermakers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish Free Pick 9/14/13
Notre Dame Fighting Irish (1-1) at Purdue Boilermakers (1-1)
College Football: Saturday, September 14, 2013 at 8:00 pm (Ross-Ade Stadium)
The Line: Purdue Boilermakers 21.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: BTN HD
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish head to Ross-Ade Stadium on Saturday to fac- off against the Purdue Boilermakers.
The Purdue Boilermakers are coming off their first win of the year, giving Purdue a record of 1-1 thus far. Purdue defeated the Indiana State Sycamores on Saturday 20-14. It was a win for the Boilermakers, so I guess a win is a win, but still against the Sycamores I’m sure Boilermaker fans were hoping for more. Purdue got off to a fast start on Saturday, returning the opening kick 99 yards for a score, and with that momentum, it appeared the rout was on. It was not. That would be all the scoring we would see until about midway through the second quarter when the Boilermakers added a field goal to take a 10-0 lead into the half. The second half saw some back and forth between Purdue and Indiana State, but the Boilermakers had to be sweating when the Sycamores scored with nine minutes remaining to bring the game to just one score. Purdue was actually outgained on Saturday 284-295 by Indiana State. The Boilermakers couldn’t get anything going offensively as Henry was just 15/24 for 150 yards on the day. The ground game obviously didn’t contribute much either, gaining just 134 yards on the ground.
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The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are coming off a loss to the Michigan Wolverines last Saturday night. The Irish were able to hang around with Michigan, even until late in the fourth quarter, which was impressive, especially considering the atmosphere at the Big House on Saturday. The Irish put up an impressive 410 yards of offense against the Wolverines, only getting slightly outgained by Michigan, as the Wolverines gained 460 against the Irish defense. Tommy Rees did some nice things for Notre Dame, but also had his struggles against the Wolverines, throwing for 314 yards and two scores, while also turning the ball over twice. In my opinion, the difference in this game was the Irish running game (or lack thereof). Notre Dame managed just 96 yards on the ground against the Wolverines on the night, and while Rees does have some talent, he is not able to put the weight of the offense on his back.
At the time of this writing (early Sunday morning) the line here has seen little movement. Right now the number is just greater than three touchdowns for the Irish, but even on the road I would expect this number to climb, especially the closer we get to kickoff. That being the case, if you are thinking of taking the Irish, I would get on this one early.
I am a bit concerned about a possible letdown for the Irish in this spot, having to travel once again after an emotional loss on Saturday. You could also argue that the Boilermakers were looking past Indiana State and looking towards Notre Dame (which I’m sure was partly the case). That being said, I don’t think it will matter much.
Purdue is bad this year, and even if they were preparing for the Irish a week early, Notre Dame should still roll. Notre Dame has an excellent coach in Kelly and a senior quarterback in Rees, so any letdown Notre Dame has here will be minor, and facing their rival the Boilermakers, the Irish will likely be looking for a solid win to boost morale. Look for the Irish to roll against the Boilermakers on Saturday.