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Indiana Hoosiers vs. Missouri Tigers Free Pick 9/21/13

Missouri Tigers (2-0) at Indiana Hoosiers (2-1)

College Football: Saturday, September 21, 2013 at 8:00 pm (Memorial Stadium)

The Line: Indiana Hoosiers +4 See the Latest Odds


The Missouri Tigers head to Memorial Stadium in Indiana on Saturday to face off against the Indiana Hoosiers.

The Indiana Hoosiers have really started to turn things around with Kevin Wilson at the helm, and the Hoosiers got one of the more impressive wins under Wilson’s tenure on Saturday as the Hoosiers defeated the Bowling Green Falcons 42-10.  The Hoosiers are currently ranked sixth in the nation in scoring offense, putting up an average of 50 points per game.  Defensively the Hoosiers aren’t great, giving up 28.7 per game, but with an offense like this, the Hoosiers can afford to be giving up a few more points than other teams.  Indiana put up an impressive 601 yards against the Falcons, 335 of which came through the air.  The Hoosiers signal caller Nate Sudfeld is turning into a weapon for this Hoosier team.  Sudfeld completed 17/26 on the day for 335 yards and two scores, giving the quarterback a QBR of 89.1.  The ground game for Indiana is also solid as the Hoosiers picked up 266 yards on the ground.  As I mentioned before, this defense has its problems, and the Falcons did gain over 400 yards against the Hoosiers, but if this offense keeps humming, the Hoosiers will be a tough out.

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Indiana Hoosiers vs. Missouri Tigers Free Pick 9/21/13

Mark L. Baer-USA TODAY Sports

The Missouri Tigers are sitting at 2-0 on the year right now.  The Tigers had this past week off to prepare for this Hoosier offense.  In Missouri’s last outing, the Tigers defeated the Toledo Rockets 38-23.  The Tigers are also lighting up the scoreboard this season as Missouri is averaging 48 points per game, ranking the Tigers tenth in the nation in scoring offense.  Defensively, Missouri is much better than the Hoosiers however, giving up an average of just 18.5 points per game.  The Tigers did have some trouble moving the ball against the Rockets, as Missouri was actually outgained by Toledo, 384-387.  Quarterback Franklin for the Tigers has become Missouri’s main offensive weapon this season, and that was the case against the Rockets as well.  Franklin threw for 212 yards and a score against Toledo, while also rushing for 77 yards on the day. 

In their last nine games in the month of September, the Tigers are 6-3 against the spread, and in their last nine non-conference games, the Tigers are 7-2 against the number.  Not a ton of trends to go on here with the Hoosiers, but Indiana has been undervalued a bit this season, going 2-1 against the spread on the year so far.

The Indiana Hoosiers are much improved and I really like what Wilson is doing with this team.  That being the case however, the Hoosiers are a bit outmatched here physically.  Despite the high scoring offenses, both teams like to run the ball as the Hoosiers run the ball 50.4 percent of the time, while the Tigers keep it on the ground 62 percent of the time.  Indiana will get theirs but Franklin is a beast for the Tigers, and in the end I like Missouri’s talent to come out on top and get the win by about a touchdown at Memorial Stadium.

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